... the Middle East.
Over the course of more than a year, Israeli leadership has increasingly come to view Turkey as the nucleus of a gradually forming potential “Sunni bloc,” which includes Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, and—less explicitly—Egypt and Qatar. Within Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government, there is a belief that this alliance could challenge Israel’s regional influence and constrain its strategic options. Israeli officials
note
that Turkey, which significantly expanded its influence in the Middle East following the December 8, 2024, regime change in Syria, is increasingly perceived as ...
... survival, particularly since the Gulf War in 1990–1991.
Protection was thought to be guaranteed by housing U.S. military bases, purchasing U.S. hardware, and coordinating foreign policy with U.S. interests. This belief is being called into doubt by the Israeli and Iranian strikes on Qatari land. The United States failed to prevent hostile action against its closest Gulf Arab security partner, which is classified as a key non-NATO ally, in June and September. Inaction and silence have been construed as complicity rather than oversight....
... Western actions in the region and the profound absence of a coherent policy will affect regional actors such as Turkey, Iran and Israel. Thus, the Gulf is slated to explode even without war on Iran because the whole region is divided based on each country’s ... ... aggravate in the country, mainly in Tripoli, unless an agreement is reached among militant groups in addition to Turkey, the UAE, Qatar, Egypt, the USA and Russia. The impeachment process of US President Donald Trump and the US role in the MENA region would ...
....
Egypt
:
(a) Economic reforms succeed. The country evolves in a liberal direction.
(b) The Muslim Brotherhood comes to power as a relatively pragmatic force.
Jordan follows a path similar to that of Egypt.
Bahrain ends the kingdom after protests.
Qatar
continues as hitherto.
Israel
, Gaza and the
West Bank
continue their existing increase in tensions (as described above).
Yemen
continues to be war-torn. Kuwait, the UAE and Oman continue their current path.
The North
Iran
will in all cases continue with the basic structure ...
“Close your eyes and you’re not sure if it’s an Israeli or a Saudi speaking.”
That’s what Daniel Levy, Middle East director at the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), told The New York Times in an article dated March 31st. The ECFR, which has called for a greater role for Al ...