... North initially hoped to complete the unsuccessful “campaign to liberate the South” that started in 1950 (and nearly ended in complete disaster, were it not for China’s intervention). Yet by the 1970s, amid détente between the United States and North Korea’s “patrons”—the Soviet Union and China—Pyongyang came to understand that its hopes of defeating a stronger South Korea, heavily backed by the Americans, were futile. Since then, the North’s goals have become more pragmatic: to ...
... situation is changing.
We can assume that China is aware that a unilateral strengthening of its own positions in the region can lead to further rapprochement of states such as Vietnam with the United States. This will become a factor of destabilisation. North Korea, of course, is a different case. But here, too, China is seriously limited in its capabilities. Despite the fact that the confrontation between Beijing and Washington is an irreversible objective process, China wants to make it as peaceful ...
... before our eyes. At first glance, it might seem that the international system of the Cold War era is reemerging. However, the new socio-political context is so fundamentally different that the outward similarity is deceptive.
Vladimir Putin’s visit to North Korea, in June 2024, is illustrative. The numerous (often quite ideological) reactions, where pro or contra, saw it as a return to the Soviet era, especially since the Comprehensive Strategic Partnership Treaty between Russia and North Korea revives ...
Results of Vladimir Putin’s visit to North Korea: Review of the documents adopted and their impact on the security situation in Northeast Asia
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to North Korea, or the DPRK, was an important milestone not only in terms of bilateral relations, but ...
On scenarios and conditions for the development of relations between Moscow and Pyongyang
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to North Korea, or the DPRK, which has been under discussion since January 2024, could not only be perceived as a reciprocal visit after the North Korean leader’s visit to the Russian Far East in the fall of 2023 but also as an extremely important step ...
... established ties in different areas. Due to the specifics of its political regime and restrictions imposed by the UN Security Council as well by Tokyo and Seoul unilaterally, the DPRK is not heavily involved in economic and social exchanges. Nevertheless, North Korea is clearly an integral part of the region’s internal environment and an important factor in the processes in Northeast Asia.
Regional Security Complex Theory (RSCT) is a new IR theory proposed by Barry Buzan and Ole Wæver from the Copenhagen ...
... the horizon, which does not make them less ominous, though. The second category of time-delayed consequences of the currently unfolding international events includes the growing threat of nuclear proliferation.
Alexander Vorontsov:
How to Interpret North Korea’s Nuclear Forces Policy Act?
There is nothing unexpected in this escalation: a minimum level of mutual trust and predictability among great powers, primarily among the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, has always been a ...
The growing US-Japanese-South Korean military cooperation inevitably leads to stronger China-Russia-North Korea ties
The Russian-North Korean negotiations this month have provoked a lot of hype, particularly in the West. It is assumed by the West that North Korean leader Kim Jong-un's trip might indicate a profound change in Moscow's overall approach ...
... preceding legal acts had been rather brief, failing to disclose important provisions and specifics in respect to nuclear weapons. At major Track II diplomacy conferences as well as in other situations, we often heard the following remarks addressed to North Korean representatives: if you claim to be a nuclear state, then at least present your nuclear doctrine to the global community, which all members of the “nuclear five” have developed and which would define the nature, objectives, functions,...
А sharp escalation of tension may occur in the near future
The belligerent statements that the United States, North Korea and South Korea have been making about each other over the past few weeks, and the steps they have taken to mobilise their existing arsenals, suggest that a sharp escalation of tension may occur in the near future.
In March 2022, Pyongyang ...