On scenarios and conditions for the development of relations between Moscow and Pyongyang
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to North Korea, or the DPRK, which has been under discussion since January 2024, could not only be perceived as a reciprocal visit after the North Korean leader’s visit to the Russian Far East in the fall of 2023 but also as an extremely important step ...
... established ties in different areas. Due to the specifics of its political regime and restrictions imposed by the UN Security Council as well by Tokyo and Seoul unilaterally, the DPRK is not heavily involved in economic and social exchanges. Nevertheless, North Korea is clearly an integral part of the region’s internal environment and an important factor in the processes in Northeast Asia.
Regional Security Complex Theory (RSCT) is a new IR theory proposed by Barry Buzan and Ole Wæver from the Copenhagen ...
... the horizon, which does not make them less ominous, though. The second category of time-delayed consequences of the currently unfolding international events includes the growing threat of nuclear proliferation.
Alexander Vorontsov:
How to Interpret North Korea’s Nuclear Forces Policy Act?
There is nothing unexpected in this escalation: a minimum level of mutual trust and predictability among great powers, primarily among the five permanent members of the UN Security Council, has always been a ...
The growing US-Japanese-South Korean military cooperation inevitably leads to stronger China-Russia-North Korea ties
The Russian-North Korean negotiations this month have provoked a lot of hype, particularly in the West. It is assumed by the West that North Korean leader Kim Jong-un's trip might indicate a profound change in Moscow's overall approach ...
... preceding legal acts had been rather brief, failing to disclose important provisions and specifics in respect to nuclear weapons. At major Track II diplomacy conferences as well as in other situations, we often heard the following remarks addressed to North Korean representatives: if you claim to be a nuclear state, then at least present your nuclear doctrine to the global community, which all members of the “nuclear five” have developed and which would define the nature, objectives, functions,...
А sharp escalation of tension may occur in the near future
The belligerent statements that the United States, North Korea and South Korea have been making about each other over the past few weeks, and the steps they have taken to mobilise their existing arsenals, suggest that a sharp escalation of tension may occur in the near future.
In March 2022, Pyongyang ...
... with refugees. But the social burden on the economy can still be significant. In addition, Moldova is facing a significant increase in fuel prices, which will also inevitably affect economic growth.
Finally, two other neighbouring countries, Iran and North Korea, should be mentioned. Tehran has a unique window of opportunity. The risk of a shortage of oil in the world market may force the US to make some indulgences in the sanctions regime. Iran may take an initially tough stance and then reduce its ...
... current state of severe economic turbulence prefers a dominant, state-controlled, centralized economy, while experiments with market economy are phased out
Over the past two or three years, media outlets all across the globe have been emphasizing North Korea’s growing isolation from the outside world, marking the country’s inevitable economic slump, which may potentially lead to the dissolution of the state.
The economic siege appears to come from two fronts: international sanctions and sanctions ...
On June 11, 2021, Ivan Timofeev, Director of Programs, Russian International Affairs Council, spoke at the webinar “Prospect for Progress on North Korea and Northeast Asian Security” held by the National Committee on American Foreign Policy (NCAFP).
On June 11, 2021, Ivan Timofeev, Director of Programs, Russian International Affairs Council, spoke at the webinar “Prospect for Progress ...
The Russia-China proposal for a “double freeze” settlement remains the most feasible solution, although far from ideal
Analytical pieces—typically prepared by self-professed experts—abound as to whether denuclearization of North Korea could be possible or what its parameters would be. Such ruminations became particularly popular by the end of Donald Trump’s presidency when the negotiations eventually found themselves in deadlock. However, I would rather call it a “freeze,...