Search: Forecasts (34 materials)

 

Russia–EU Relations in 2020: Opportunities, Limitations and Possible Trends

Speaking notes for the European Meeting of the Trilateral Commission Any attempt to predict the development of Russia–EU relations in the upcoming years must certainly acknowledge the fact that relations between the two sides have remained remarkably stable since 2014, and the momentum of current dynamics (or, instead, the momentum of no dynamics) will most likely continue. 2019 marked European Parliament elections, the “overhaul” of the European Commission and other EU governing bodies, as well...

06.12.2019

Russia-Ukraine Relations 2020: Equation With Many Variables. A View from Russia

If everything goes as prescribed, the 2020 will become a year of developing and implementing conflict resolution strategies and mediating processes The forecast for the Ukraine is one of the most ungrateful tasks for a political expert. The quantity of variables in this equation is so high, that only artificial intellect with plenty of facts and figures uploaded will be able to solve it in the nearest future. The current situation in internal politics and overall in the regional dimension in Europe...

21.11.2019

Analysis of Future Warfare

... predictions create an “illusion of realization”: their descriptions of future phenomena and processes are incredibly general, so the probability of such scenarios being implemented is fairly high. However, if we add a handful of details to such forecasts, they will immediately become nothing but fantasies. This can be explained by probability theory. Each detail in description has its probability of being realized, and a combination of such details, conjoined by the Boolean operator AND, will ...

25.07.2019

RIAC Forecast 2019–2024

RIAC Experts on Global Issues In this project, we gather the opinions of Russian experts on Russia’s foreign policy with regard to individual countries, the situation in individual regions, and the specifics of the development of the key functional areas in international relations. The first Chapter “ Global Governance and World Order ” is available now. — Fyodor Lukyanov , #MeFirst against Strategic Stability — Sergey Afontsev , The Future of Global Economic Governance — Valery Garbuzov...

16.01.2019

Entering 2019: Challenges and Opportunities

The greatest challenge of our times is a deficit of solidarity between nation states, including those of them, which are entrusted by the United Nations Charter with a special responsibility to maintain global peace and security Reflecting on problems of 2018 and on challenges of 2019, it is tempting to point at the current US Administration as the greatest international problem of today. Indeed, over the outgoing year Washington has been very active in questioning the foundations of the contemporary...

20.12.2018

Ivan Timofeev Makes a Presentation of «Russia’s Foreign Policy: Looking Towards 2018» Report in Warsaw

... Working Group for Forecasting. A systemic approach has been taken to identify the most important areas of Russia’s foreign policy for 2018, as well as the key threats and opportunities for the country on the global arena. The geographic scope of the forecasts covers the West, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East and the post­Soviet states. Ivan Timofeev: «The authors hope that the ideas and conclusions provided in this report will be of use to the Russian authorities when making foreign policy decisions,...

09.02.2018

Russia’s Foreign Policy: Looking Towards 2018

... Working Group for Forecasting. A systemic approach has been taken to identify the most important areas of Russia’s foreign policy for 2018, as well as the key threats and opportunities for the country on the global arena. The geographic scope of the forecasts covers the West, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East and the post-Soviet states. The authors hope that the ideas and conclusions provided in this report will be of use to the Russian authorities when making foreign policy decisions, and will come ...

25.12.2017

Russia's Foreign Policy: Looking Towards 2018. Summary

... Working Group for Forecasting. A systemic approach has been taken to identify the most important areas of Russia’s foreign policy for 2018, as well as the key threats and opportunities for the country on the global arena. The geographic scope of the forecasts covers the West, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East and the post-Soviet states. The authors hope that the ideas and conclusions provided in this report will be of use to the Russian authorities when making foreign policy decisions, and will come ...

25.12.2017

Ivan Timofeev Made a Presentation of Forecasting Developments in Florence

Ivan Timofeev made a presentation of the key achievements in forecast work within RIAC’s project «The World in 100 Years» On June 7, 2017, in Florence (Italy) Ivan Timofeev, RIAC Director of Programs, made a speech at the meeting for representatives of Florence business, universities, and civil society institutions. The meeting was organized by ARTES , a Tuscan association. Ivan Timofeev made a presentation of the key achievements in forecast work within RIAC’s project «The World in 100 Years»...

13.06.2017

Russia and the World: The Agenda for the Next 100 Years

The world will become increasingly interconnected, not only in terms of trade, economics, and information, but also in terms of threats. That would force Russia to solve its dilemmas in close connection with global problems For at least the last few hundred years, progress has been a key value and goal of human development. Advances in science, technology, state administration, industry and management have brought unprecedented results. The death rate has fallen significantly and the population...

13.03.2017
 

Poll conducted

  1. In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?
    U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements  
     33 (31%)
    U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity  
     30 (28%)
    U.S. wants to dissolve Russia  
     24 (22%)
    U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China  
     21 (19%)
 
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