Search: Forecasts (31 material)

 

RIAC Forecast 2019–2024

RIAC Experts on Global Issues In this project, we gather the opinions of Russian experts on Russia’s foreign policy with regard to individual countries, the situation in individual regions, and the specifics of the development of the key functional areas in international relations. The first Chapter “ Global Governance and World Order ” is available now. — Fyodor Lukyanov , #MeFirst against Strategic Stability — Sergey Afontsev , The Future of Global Economic Governance — Valery Garbuzov...

16.01.2019

Entering 2019: Challenges and Opportunities

The greatest challenge of our times is a deficit of solidarity between nation states, including those of them, which are entrusted by the United Nations Charter with a special responsibility to maintain global peace and security Reflecting on problems of 2018 and on challenges of 2019, it is tempting to point at the current US Administration as the greatest international problem of today. Indeed, over the outgoing year Washington has been very active in questioning the foundations of the contemporary...

20.12.2018

Ivan Timofeev Makes a Presentation of «Russia’s Foreign Policy: Looking Towards 2018» Report in Warsaw

... Working Group for Forecasting. A systemic approach has been taken to identify the most important areas of Russia’s foreign policy for 2018, as well as the key threats and opportunities for the country on the global arena. The geographic scope of the forecasts covers the West, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East and the post­Soviet states. Ivan Timofeev: «The authors hope that the ideas and conclusions provided in this report will be of use to the Russian authorities when making foreign policy decisions,...

09.02.2018

Russia’s Foreign Policy: Looking Towards 2018

... Working Group for Forecasting. A systemic approach has been taken to identify the most important areas of Russia’s foreign policy for 2018, as well as the key threats and opportunities for the country on the global arena. The geographic scope of the forecasts covers the West, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East and the post-Soviet states. The authors hope that the ideas and conclusions provided in this report will be of use to the Russian authorities when making foreign policy decisions, and will come ...

25.12.2017

Russia's Foreign Policy: Looking Towards 2018. Summary

... Working Group for Forecasting. A systemic approach has been taken to identify the most important areas of Russia’s foreign policy for 2018, as well as the key threats and opportunities for the country on the global arena. The geographic scope of the forecasts covers the West, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East and the post-Soviet states. The authors hope that the ideas and conclusions provided in this report will be of use to the Russian authorities when making foreign policy decisions, and will come ...

25.12.2017

Ivan Timofeev Made a Presentation of Forecasting Developments in Florence

Ivan Timofeev made a presentation of the key achievements in forecast work within RIAC’s project «The World in 100 Years» On June 7, 2017, in Florence (Italy) Ivan Timofeev, RIAC Director of Programs, made a speech at the meeting for representatives of Florence business, universities, and civil society institutions. The meeting was organized by ARTES , a Tuscan association. Ivan Timofeev made a presentation of the key achievements in forecast work within RIAC’s project «The World in 100 Years»...

13.06.2017

Russia and the World: The Agenda for the Next 100 Years

The world will become increasingly interconnected, not only in terms of trade, economics, and information, but also in terms of threats. That would force Russia to solve its dilemmas in close connection with global problems For at least the last few hundred years, progress has been a key value and goal of human development. Advances in science, technology, state administration, industry and management have brought unprecedented results. The death rate has fallen significantly and the population...

13.03.2017

The Post-Soviet Space in 2017

In 2017, we are likely to see more skirmishes in Nagorno-Karabakh, since neither party learned the lessons from the escalation that took place last spring: information on the truce being periodically breached keeps coming in. Most likely, the conflict will not be resolved, but its escalation into a full-fledged war is unlikely either. As for the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), there is little chance of it changing its stance with regard to the situation, meaning that it will not intervene...

21.02.2017

RIAC Launches a Series of “City Breakfasts” in Fyodor Dostoevsky Library

On February 16, 2017, the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) held the first “city breakfast” in Fyodor Dostoevsky library. Ivan Timofeev, RIAC Director of Programs, and Timur Makhmutov, RIAC Deputy Director of Programs, gave a lecture “the World in 100 years. International affairs forecasting: what is waiting for us in the 22 nd century?” The experts discussed the main trends influencing world politics, and suggested possible development options for international...

20.02.2017

Ukraine after 30 Years: Manoeuvring between Geopolitical Centres

... the dynamics and vectors of how the situation will develop in the short term to be modelled. They identify current political trends, reinforce the fundamental basis of the future Ukrainian political process and are capable of generating alternative forecasts for the next five years or more. Given the unpredictability, subjectivity and chaotic nature of modern Ukrainian socio-political realities, it is possible that other scenarios derived from the two that have been presented could arise. For example,...

25.01.2017
 

Poll conducted

  1. Korean Peninsula Crisis Has no Military Solution. How Can It Be Solved?
    Demilitarization of the region based on Russia-China "Dual Freeze" proposal  
     36 (35%)
    Restoring multilateral negotiation process without any preliminary conditions  
     27 (26%)
    While the situation benefits Kim Jong-un's and Trump's domestic agenda, there will be no solution  
     22 (21%)
    Armed conflict still cannot be avoided  
     12 (12%)
    Stonger deterrence on behalf of the U.S. through modernization of military infrastructure in the region  
     4 (4%)
    Toughening economic sanctions against North Korea  
     2 (2%)
 
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