A fairly alarming picture of the future, replete with conflicts
Of course, the 100 years indicated in the title of the project is merely a poetic metaphor. In reality, we can only speak with some degree of certainty about two far closer forecasting horizons.
One is five or ten years away.
Let us assume that very soon somebody will win and somebody will lose the civil wars raging in the Middle East. Let us further assume that the conflicts that are tearing this world apart will be settled, or at...
New Identities and Changes in Political Borders
In developing an efficient strategy for Central Asia, one needs to understand which long-term socioeconomic trends will dominate the region’s political agenda in the 21st century.
Recent developments in Central Asia strongly suggest that ...
“Before we can unite, and to unite, we must first firmly and definitely delimitate”
The concept of “border” was never perceived in CA as it is nowadays, for many centuries borders in that region were only “natural” - based on rivers, lakes and mountains because the borders of the “states” of those historic period were shifting. After Russian Empire came into region it was a concept of Empire’s ...
Balkan Borders in a Hundred Years
A hundred years ago today the first Balkan War was raging. A union of newly independent Bulgaria, Greece, Serbia and Montenegro were fighting the Ottoman Empire for lands they had lost to it five centuries before. Their war ...