Pessimism of Reason and Optimism of Will. The Arab World the Day After Tomorrow
... poetic metaphor. In reality, we can only speak with some degree of certainty about two far closer forecasting horizons. One is five or ten years away. Let us assume that very soon somebody will win and somebody will lose the civil wars raging in the Middle East. Let us further assume that the conflicts that are tearing this world apart will be settled, or at least frozen, tomorrow or in a year’s time. Then all the countries in the region would need about five years just to make up their minds ...
03.12.2015