... two global powers: the parameters of the world order, U.S. sanctions policy, competition between Asian-Pacific integration models, the economic, trade and technological rivalry between the two nations, as well as matters concerning global security and arms control. This analysis also considers U.S.– Chinese confrontation in terms of its potential negative and positive implications for Russia.
U.S. Foreign Policy Towards China: Outlook and Implications for Russia
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Policy Brief #44 / 2022
Policy Brief #44 / 2022
In October 2022, Joseph Biden’s administration published the new U.S. Nuclear Posture Review (NPR-2022) as part of a single National Defense Strategy (NDS-2022) package along with the Missile Defense Review (MDR-2022). The previous Nuclear Posture Review appeared in February 2018 during Donald Trump’s presidency.
One of the key functions of any publicly available strategic document is to deliver information to other states – both friendly and hostile...
... potential of nuclear deterrence [
], which meant
needed to be taken to bypass an adversary’s missile defence systems. All this made sure that missile defence has inevitably made a comeback as one of the most pressing issues in arms control.
Quo Vadis ?
However, Russia’s official rhetoric accompanying the demolition of the ABM Treaty was surprisingly restrained. In his December 2001 statement on the U.S. withdrawal from the Treaty, the Republican President George ...
Washington’s abandonment of ammunition and armory in Afghanistan is in direct violation of the existing UN sanctions regime
The hasty withdrawal of the U.S. forces from Afghanistan attests to both the indifference of the U.S. administration as regards the future of Afghanistan as a state and the neglect for its obligations to its allies. Besides, Washington has clearly violated the current UN Security Council sanctions regime against the Taliban, which was established in accordance with
Comments by Andrey Baklitskiy, Victor Esin, Olga Oliker, Alexander Saveliev and Dmitry Stefanovich
To mark the anniversary of START I signed in Moscow on July 31, 1991, the Russian International Affairs Council asked strategic arms control experts several questions about the importance of START I and the prospects for new treaties to be signed.
Why was START I a breakthrough? What explains the success in negotiating and signing the treaty?
Could any elements from START I be ...
The only way to defuse the perils of nuclear deterrence relations and transform revised logical constructs into a material reality of fortifying the foundations of mutual security is by going beyond this framework into the logic of arms control
What a pity it is that the ancient Greek philosopher Zeno died 2500 years ago. He would certainly have found many more examples for his aporias, or logical paradoxes that are unsolvable within the set parameters of a given situation [
... to ignore it in all the contradictions listed above. The policy of containment by itself does not solve them, although no one is going to give up containment.
In addition, there are topics that are simply necessary to discuss. Principal among them is arms control. The New START extension can be considered as a step forward, but it only provides a five-year delay for the development of new agreements. This is a ridiculous timeframe, given the collapse of the INF Treaty and other disarmament regimes,...
... opportunity to share threat perceptions and consider the potential to mitigate security risks. The participants presented their countries’ strategic priorities and perspectives on the evolving nature of European security, including the prospects for arms control. The workshop also introduced the sub-regional perspective by focusing on the security complex in the Baltic Sea, Northern Europe and the Arctic.
The discussion focused on: the challenges that the European regional security order faces; the ...
We are witnessing the dawn of a new era in our nuclear world
The resumption of U.S.–Russia consultations on arms control and strategic stability in Vienna in late June is certainly good news. If the discussions go well, then there may be hope that the Treaty between the United States of America and the Russian Federation on Measures for the Further Reduction ...
... Implications of Its Decision?
The Treaty Between the United States of America and the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics on the Elimination of Their Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles (INF Treaty) was a cornerstone of the system of bilateral arms control agreements and a key factor in maintaining the fragile balance in the nuclear forces of the two countries. The withdrawal of the United States from the INF Treaty will lead to the collapse of the Russo-American system of arms control, provoke ...