... of negotiations)?
Most likely, there will be no overall collapse. After all, Biden, unlike Trump, is sincerely committed to arms control. But difficulties will arise, including those of a legal nature, and will have to be addressed. There have already ... ... This happened in the first half of the 1980s, even though the context was different, but it was also the case with the current New START Treaty. START I expired a few months before the new agreement was signed. But no one panicked, as intensive negotiations ...
... systems. With this in mind, a loss of transparency into the composition of their respective nuclear arsenals creates the conditions for a dangerous new arms race, especially given the historical tendency of
overestimating opponent capabilities
.
IV. The New START Serves as a Platform and Fallback When Arms Control Moves Into Complex, Multilateral Approaches
Arms control is evolving, both as a term (e.g.
controlling the means of violence
or
CMV
) and in focus of the contemporary instruments with which armed violence is perpetrated, such as fighter ...
... Galbraith aptly noted, in politics the choice is usually not between good and bad, but between unpleasant and disastrous. It would, of course, be nice to scramble planes to disperse the thickening clouds and restore in full the past achievements of arms control, including the INF Treaty, ABM, TOS and CFE and also to reiterate the enduring value of the New START, NPT, MTCR, CTBT, etc. However, waiting for the rescue aircraft to appear in the sky might take a long time; today’s politicians are simply not motivated enough to burn scarce political kerosene in order to disperse thunderclouds.
There are ...
... least in the area of arms control, would change under a Biden presidency? Because the Democrats are much more sympathetic to arms control agreements than Republicans currently appear to be. What’s your take?
Ryabkov
: I have no idea how things will ... ... process for any administration—including the second Trump administration if he is reelected—to deal with the issue of a new START extension after the day of elections in America. I think more broadly that the current, almost one-hundred percent watertight ...
Arms Control Today conducted a written interview in early March with Anatoly Antonov, Russian ambassador to the United States on issues including the current status of U.S.-Russian strategic security talks, the future of New START, talks on intermediate-range missile systems, engaging China in arms control, and President Vladimir Putin’s proposal for a summit of the leaders of the five permanent members of the UN Security Council.
Arms Control Today conducted a written interview in early March with Anatoly Antonov, Russian ambassador to ...
... New START, is the place to begin.
With the unfortunate dissolution of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty last year, New START is the only agreement still in place that limits the size of American and Russian nuclear forces. It also provides vital ... ... fortune. The fall of the Berlin Wall did not eliminate those dangers, but the years that followed saw continued progress on arms control, a sharp drop in nuclear peril and a reduced reliance on military means for addressing potential conflicts.
Today,...
... limiting and reducing nuclear arms, the priority task for all should be to prevent a nuclear war
For several years, serious experts in Russia and the West have repeatedly warned the public about the threat of the collapse of the international nuclear arms control system. They spoke about the system, to be precise, because in the past half a century arms control developed as a sum-total of supplementary elements rather than an eclectic set of separate unrelated bilateral or multilateral agreements....
... consider the issue. (Bolton, of course, is known to be extremely hostile to treaties in general and arms control in particular.) Few expect that he will allow a fair hearing from defense and intelligence officials, who are known to be strong advocates of New START extension.
Light in the Darkness
I cannot deny that prospects for a rejuvenation of arms control any time soon appear bleak. But I have lived through serious arms control challenges in the past. In this regards, 1983 often invades my mind. What the Germans dubbed “the year of the missile” fell right in the middle of my tour in Embassy ...
RIAC and RUSI Report, #45 / 2019
A report based on findings from the third round of the UK–Russia Track 1.5 (non-governmental) bilateral security dialogue, which
The Royal United Services Institute
(RUSI) held in collaboration with the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC).
The first year of the project identified several security and geopolitical topics to establish the most productive areas of cooperation between the UK and Russia. The second year built on three of the most fruitful areas...
... concern that the risk of nuclear weapons use is higher today than it has ever been in our lifetimes.
For over forty years, nuclear arms control agreements, such as the INF Treaty, have provided stability and predictability to the most consequential nuclear ... ... diplomatic efforts to begin a global conversation on the risks posed by intermediate-range ballistic missiles.
2) Extend the New START
Treaty until 2026. Set to expire in February 2021, the New START Treaty provides common-sense limits and verification ...
