Do Not Expect Any Breakthrough
... groundswell of popular discontent in Ukraine (caused by the dire economic situation and lack of central heating in winter as Kiev has not found a replacement for Russian gas) could lead to a new Maidan. However, despite the shared interests of Russia and Ukraine, Pyotr Poroshenko is unlikely to start peace negotiations with Vladimir Putin. This is not so much because the backdrop for the Ukrainian side tends to weaken its position (Ukrainian troops are suffering heavy defeats instead of military victories in the ...