Report No. 85 / 2023
Report No. 85 / 2023
The Taliban’s (an organization whose activities are banned in the Russian Federation) rise to power in Afghanistan in August 2021 and the conflict in Ukraine have both had an impact on regional trends in the Middle East. This report sheds light on the transformation of new elements in Middle Eastern state relations and examines the changing role of key players in the region. It analyses the impact that the events in Afghanistan and Ukraine have had on the ...
... School of International Affairs at Georgia Tech.
As a specialist on international security and political violence, Jenna Jordan evaluates the effectiveness of a strategy of eliminating a terrorist group's leader.
One of the central pillars of US counterterrorism policy is that capturing or killing a terrorist group's leader is effective. Yet this pillar rests more on a foundation of faith than facts. In Leadership Decapitation, Jenna Jordan examines over a thousand instances of leadership targeting—involving ...
... three of the most fruitful areas from the first round, and this third iteration used those previous discussions as a basis for four workshops on the most pressing security issues: the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty; organised crime and terrorism; the Middle East; and cyber security.
Certainly, the four roundtables that RUSI and RIAC hosted on these sensitive but salient security issues brought out some contentious views, but also revealed plenty of scope for practical agreement. The UK and Russian ...
Chairman of the PIR Center Council Lt-Gen Yevgeny Buzhinsky (Ret.) speaks on the prospects for a collective security system in the Middle East, regional divergences and the influence of external forces in an interview with www.valdaiclub.com on the sidelines of the Valdai Club’s Middle East Conference.
Chairman of the PIR Center Council Lt-Gen Yevgeny Buzhinsky (Ret.) speaks ...
... jointly ensuring the freedom of navigation; jointly fighting piracy, cross-border crime (including human and drug trafficking) and terrorism; and coordinating emergency relief efforts.
Sceptic’s remark.
History demonstrates that confidence-building measures ... ... realize the risks of a possible escalation or suffer from the growing burden of an arms race. Neither is currently observed in the Middle East. Most of the countries in the region are guided by the principle of “escalation for the sake of subsequent de-escalation....
... sanctions on Iran and Venezuela’s persistent crisis might further prop up oil prices, but Saudi Arabia has to rely on its own forces, not on more or less favourable international conjunctures.
The third big issue, despite ISIS’ demise, remains that of terrorism. It is now time to think about a post-ISIS world, to ‘win the peace’. Fundamentalism is still there, fuelled by Wahhabism and other radical ideologies. Even more important, poverty and resentment are still there, in large parts of the Middle East, North and increasingly sub-Saharan Africa. Syria, Palestine, Iraq, the Maghreb countries, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Nigeria, Niger, and so on, have millions of young, disaffected, and fundamentally poor citizens. Better-off Tunisia has for weeks ...
... reason: to help stabilize the relationship and buffer against conflict in the future. The analyses that follow examine prospects for Russia-U.S. cooperation in several crucial regions and fields: economics, energy, the Arctic, Euro-Atlantic security, the Middle East, strategic stability, cybersecurity, and countering terrorism and extremism. The report offer concrete, actionable recommendations in each area.
Contributors
: Heather A. Conley, William Courtney, R. Kim Cragin, Lynn E. Davis, Ambassador James Dobbins, Suzanne Freeman, Andrei Korneyev, Sarah Ladislaw, ...
Terrorism Remains on the List of Problems and Will not Be Eradicated Any Time Soon
Syria has suffered great damage after the years-long conflict. Regional and global actors’ joint efforts are required to root out terrorism, rebuild the economy and resolve a humanitarian crisis in the country. Today, almost all countries in the Middle East show interest in Russia’s involvement and view Moscow as the main partner capable of influencing the situation in the region. RIAC member Vitaly Naumkin shares his views on the prospects of reconstruction in Syria, telling what Russia’s ...
... not mean that everything will be fine. This means that this forecast is more likely to happen than the absolutely negative forecast. But it is not the most possible. The most possible scenario is somewhat in between.
How to defeat terrorism?
What is terrorism? This is a philosophical question. I would prefer to talk about opportunities for Middle Eastern societies to radically reduce the level of violence and political violence as a way of solving social or political problems. I think that this would be more appropriate. Though to solve this, it is necessary to develop statehood, institutions,...
... the Democratic candidate, and the most conservative part of the Republic establishment are in the way), isolationist moods in the US will grow.
A long way uphill
REUTERS/Faisal Al Nasser
Igor Ivanov:
Is a Collective Security System Possible in
the Middle East?
Summarizing the results of the antiterrorist campaign that started on September 11, 2001, we can draw the following conclusions.
1. Terrorism is on the rise; the number of local Islamist groups fighting (sometimes successfully) against their countries’ governments is growing. Today, IS is the strongest enemy and it is spreading its influence even beyond the Middle East. Apparently,...
