Question: Who has provoked the Ukrainian crisis? Was Moscow aware of the geopolitical, economic and reputational price it would have to pay for Crimea’s reunification with Russia? Do you think it was too high in the context of Russian-Ukrainian relations? Is there a lasting solution to the Ukrainian crisis?
Sergey Lavrov:
The Ukrainian crisis was not incidental, but rather the result of systemic problems ...
... Distracted by the death of ex german chancellor Helmut Schmidt, the new socialist government in Portugal and the apparent extremist attacks in Paris and on the french naval base at Toulon the G-20 summit in Turkey has assigned a low importnace to the Syrian refugee crisis. Until the global economy returns to a period of sustainable growth it may be best for humanitarian and moral themes to be addressed not by a multilateral organization like the G-20, but by individual nations within the context of their own systems of ...
... President Bashar Assad and conducting talks on power-sharing with the opposition, the resumption of the Geneva process and so on.
However, Moscow has now apparently come to the conclusion that the far more serious question is: What will remain of the former Syria? In essence, the country has already fragmented into different zones of control — or chaos — and it is difficult now to imagine the reconstruction of the former state. That raises the question of which group or territory the international community can league ...
On May 20, 2014 RIAC Program Director Ivan Timofeev and Program Manager Lyudmila Filippova held consultations on Syria with
UN
Director of
Middle East
and West Asia Antonella Caruso and political expert Shuhrat Suleymanov.
The expert commentary was provided by Alexander Shumilin, Head of the Centre for Analysis of Middle East Conflicts at RAS Institute for US and Canadian ...
... Syria play out quickly. Syria Embassy in Qatar flying flag of the Syrian National Coalition (SNC) What happens to the Assads? Regardless of whether there is a peaceful transition or not it’s unlikely that the former ruling family would remain in Syria under the new regime. It’s too risky. Would Russia offer protection and asylum to a family that has been a loyal ally for over four decades? It’s a little different than the Saudis setting up Ugandan despot Idi Amin with a penthouse suite ...
... discussing the relevant issues with RIAC President Igor Ivanov. In an interview with RIAC, Mr. Annan talked about the challenges facing the UN, ways to reform it, the implementation of the concept “Responsibility to Protect”, and the situation surrounding Syria.
The UN Reform
I set about reforming the United Nations Organization straight away upon being elected Secretary General. To begin with, we defined what we could do ourselves, in what fields to cooperate with other institutions, and what to shift ...
... country. Military solution can have only two options: The government wins, or the opposition wins. If the opposition wins on the ground militarily, I am afraid the people who have been selected for this national coalition, the people who compose the Syrian National Council, they will not be invited to Syria because the people with the guns, the extremists, would have the day. And somehow it is not mentioned publicly too often, but when the United States listed the Jabhat al-Nusra as terrorist organization, the members ...
... further Eastward advances – from Syria through Iran towards Pakistan, and further to the Korean Peninsula and the broader Far East. The United States, NATO and the League of Arab States are known to have been ready for a humanitarian intervention in Syria in June-July 2012, when about 100 bodies were found in the Syrian town of Al-Houla. However, international observers in the country refused to clearly lay the responsibility with government forces. This, coupled with the continuing divisions within the anti-Assad ...
... international approach vis-à-vis Syria.
So, the concept of the responsibility to protect was undermined by NATO's operation in Libya that exceeded the UN-authorized mandate. As one of the consequences we now see the deadlock in the UN Security Council over Syria. What are the prospects for the norm of responsibility to protect after Libya now?
As I mentioned before, that is disputed. Some felt that the nature of that intervention was necessarily broader than limited protection, in order to protect the interveners; ...
The war in the Middle East as a consequence of the crisis of confidence in the world
In July the UN Security Council must decide what to do with the mission of international observers in Syria. Under the current mandate, which was established on April 21, 2012 Security Council resolution number 2043, their planned 90-day mandate expires on July 20th.
The Muslim fast of Ramadan is set to worsen the situation
By a dramatic coincidence, this year's ...