The new Syrian authorities cannot simply cut ties with Moscow. They know well that Russia can be helpful in many pragmatic ways, including counterbalancing other actors, e.g. Turkey, the U.S. and the Gulf states
The first two months of the new authorities in Damascus could hardly provide us with a clear vision of Syria’s future....
Great powers claim to be great because they cannot afford the luxury of pure situational opportunism, typical for many other international actors
The sudden fall of Bashar al-Assad's regime in Syria, as far as one can judge, came as a complete surprise for all external actors, Moscow including. Of course, many Russian area studies experts for a long time warned about the growing economic and social problems in Syria, as well as about incredible corruption and state governance inefficiency. They questioned the combat capability and motivation of the government ...
Damascus and Ankara sharing more and more interests
The leaders of Syria and Turkey have recently made frequent public declarations of their readiness to start the process of normalizing bilateral relations soon, with Russia as a mediator. Syrian President Bashar Assad, while receiving Russian President's Special Envoy on Syria Alexander Lavrentiev on June 26, 2024, acknowledged that he viewed the reconciliation positively. In turn, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan ...
... could have been prompted by changes in Iran’s relations with other countries, especially its evolving cooperation with China, Russia and Saudi Arabia. If any agreement has been reached (which is currently too early to judge), it would only boost Iran’s ... ... East’s approach to international relations is Turkey’s foreign policy. Particularly important, is Turkey’s position on Syria prior to the presidential elections in May 2023, and the new aspects it has now acquired following the victory of incumbent ...
When al-Sisi became the country’s new president in 2014, Russia and Egypt entered a new stage in their bilateral relations
The anniversary of the inauguration of Egyptian President ... ... recognized the Muslim Brotherhood as a terrorist organization. Additionally, there were clashing views regarding ways to solve the Syrian crisis. Morsi proposed to establish a no-fly zone over Syria, which would bring a crushing blow to Bashar al-Assad’s ...
The war in Syria has shown that a military solution to the conflict is doomed to fail, and establishing political peace seems almost the ... ... consisting mainly of Kurdish militias. Part of Idlib is occupied by the radical Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham movement (outlawed in the Russian Federation). A number of areas in Aleppo, Raqqa, Al-Hasakah and Idlib are under the de facto protectorate of Ankara, which ...
Avoiding a new round of violence is ultimately in the interests of all the players involved in resolving the Syrian problem
Ankara is paying great attention to the security problems germinating in the southern borders of Turkey. This ... ... of normalizing relations with Syria. Back in December of last year, he proposed to hold a meeting between the presidents of Russia, Turkey, and Syria. According to Erdogan, this meeting should be after negotiations take place between head Defense Ministers,...
... the region remains firm, Kremlin elites are becoming increasingly wary of Ankara’s efforts to project its influence along Russian borders
Russo–Turkish relations have been at the forefront of recent media discussions. Cooperative competition, “frenemies,... ... Ankara sought to assert a separate position from the United States, it still found itself on the same side of U.S. policy on the Syrian Civil War, albeit with different aims than Washington. Turkish-Russian competition in Syria was especially intense, culminating ...
Review of: Stephen F. Cohen. “War with Russia? From Putin & Ukraine to Trump & Russiagate.”
Review of: Stephen F. Cohen. “War with Russia? From Putin & Ukraine ... ...
]. Cohen cautions that the new Cold War is “more fraught with the possibility of a hot war”—on three fronts: Ukraine, Syria, and the Baltics (p. 67)—and that the only way to avert a hot war or “another prolonged Cold War” is through a new ...
What kind of Syria would we like to see and might we see by March 2031?
On 6 March 2011, the local security services in the small town of ... ... day, a mass rebellion against the central government broke out in Daraa to quickly spread to neighbouring towns and villages.
Russia and the EU in Syria: Need for New Approaches? RIAC Working Paper?
Had I been told back then, in March 2011, that the civil ...