... that the world desperately needs a higher level of global governance, but the current geopolitical trends push the world in the opposite direction. The exact costs of this movement depend on many independent variables, in particular, on how long the Russia-West conflict may last for and on how comprehensive and radical the US-China strategic decoupling is going to be.
In any case, in 2035 we should be ready to confront a world with lower economic growth, less social cohesion, more explicit and more damaging ...
... absorb the growing contradictions. The lack of effective and equal institutions that would take into account the interests of Russia and integrate it into the common security space ultimately led to growing alienation and a crisis in relations between Russia and the West. This transition was accompanied by the degradation of the arms control regime, the erosion of the rules of the game in the field of security against the backdrop of military operations by the United States and its allies, and interference in the ...
... share Soviet ideology and views. The expert also noted that the recent exercises held by Western countries in the Baltic Sea have already proven to be aggressive. The overall situation ahead of NATO’s 75th anniversary threatens the development of Russia’s relations with the West, which are nearly nonexistent anyway.
Ivan Safranchuk, Professor at the Department of International Relations and Foreign Policy of Russia of MGIMO University, stressed at the roundtable that NATO’s purpose was questioned back when the bloc was ...
... common diversification of foreign policy relations, but the situation is predictably aggravated both by Yerevan’s choice of new partners and by the way Pashinyan’s team fulfills Western orders. At the height of Russia’s confrontation with the West, Russia’s ally demonstrably reduces contacts with the CSTO, hosts European security forces, receives French military equipment. And all this is happening in the backdrop of a harsh anti-Russian campaign in the Armenian media. Instead of diversification,...
... States and in the United Kingdom, elections to the European Parliament as well as elections in India, in Indonesia and in many other places generate more uncertainties. Even if there is no further escalation of the Russian-Ukrainian or of a more general Russia-West confrontation, the crisis in Europe is doomed to spread instability and chaos across the world like a stone thrown into a pond creates ripples on the water.
Not all of the conflicts in various corners of the planet are directly related to the Russian-Ukrainian ...
The tit-for-tat logic will continue to dominate relations between Russia and the West
What will the sanctions policy against Russia be in 2024? Is it possible to predict the priorities of such a policy? Yes, it is quite easy. Key decisions on sanctions in 2024 are already embedded in current political decisions. We will see the ...
... at the turn of the century, the Arab Spring, the coronavirus pandemic – the acute phase of each of these cataclysms lasted an average of one and a half to two years. Today, the world is approaching the two-year anniversary of the conflict between Russia and the West transitioning into an acute phase, and there is no light looming at the end of the tunnel. Moreover, there are many reasons to believe that further escalation lies ahead. The same inauspicious conclusions may apply to many other systemic conflicts ...
... which the United States and the West as a whole are forced to get involved, scattering their resources, as well as the likelihood of disagreements within the West.
The new normal is the absence of visible prerequisites for compromise.
Ivan Timofeev:
Russia-West: Rising Stakes
The second parameter is the military situation in Ukraine. The year 2023 began with alarming expectations of a Ukrainian counter-offensive. It was fuelled in the information field and in political statements by Western leaders. The ...
... competition
1989 heralded a unique prospect for an enduring global peace, as harsh ideological divisions and conflicts began to be resolved. Now, three decades on, that peace has been lost. With war in Ukraine and increasing tensions between China, Russia, and the West, great power politics once again dominates the world stage. But could it have been different?
Richard Sakwa shows how the years before the first mass invasion of Ukraine represented a hiatus in conflict rather than a lasting accord – and how, since ...
... benefits can also be used as an instrument of political power. The most striking example is blocking financial sanctions, when certain persons in a hostile country may be deprived of the possibility of regular banking transactions. [
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Ivan Timofeev:
Russia-West: Rising Stakes
The conflict between Russia and the West, which escalated against the backdrop of the Ukrainian crisis in 2014 and rapidly gained momentum after the start of the Special military operation in 2022, has all the signs of a hybrid war,...
