... for some flexibility but also raises the risks of further escalation
The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has demonstrated an unprecedented use of missile capabilities... ... combinations of conventional … capabilities, together with the unique deterrent effect of nuclear weapons.’ Further, as noted by the U.S. Congressional Budget Office, the dual... ... Although Russia has rejected the recent U.S. proposal to
resum
e systematic dialogue on strategic stability and arms control, both states should continue to seek other opportunities—whether...
... immortal
Metamorphoses
, which have fascinated Europeans for two millennia.
The threat of nuclear war
Aleksey Arbatov:
The Ukrainian Crisis and Strategic Stability
Contrary to the common perception that nuclear weapons should exclusively “serve to deter aggression and prevent war,” nuclear war is more likely to happen today ... ... avoid a catastrophe once again, during the current conflict in and around Ukraine, is still a matter of an uncertain future.
Russia’s new Foreign Policy Concept of 2023 says that “the use of military force in violation of international law, the development ...
... experts discussed issues related to the current system of control and limitation of nuclear weapons. The participants assessed theoretical and practical approaches to considering... ... likelihood of a nuclear war. Other issues included most pressing challenges between Russia, the United States, and China in the field of nuclear arms limitation and control... ... aggravation of relations between Russia and the United States, together with the dialogue on strategic stability put on hold, usher in a new stage in the nuclear arms race in the...
Escalation Scenarios
Arbatov, A.G. (2022). The Ukrainian crisis and strategic stability. Polis. Political Studies, 4, 10–31. (In Russ.)
https://doi.org/10.... ... politics over the last fifty years. This was a period of an unprecedented détente between Russia and the West—starting, flourishing, declining, and finally collapsing. Without... ... meantime, Russia’s military operation in Ukraine has affected the state’s approach to nuclear weapons. In his momentous address on February 24, 2022 (one that launched the...
