... reducing nuclear arms, the priority task for all should be to prevent a nuclear war
For several years, serious experts in Russia and the West have repeatedly warned the public about the threat of the collapse of the international nuclear arms control ... ... Approaching the End of the Arms Control Era?
The next link in the chain of disintegration is the bilateral START III Treaty. Mutual accusations about the failure to abide by this treaty – at least in terms of its spirit if not the letter – are becoming increasingly ...
... significant hold-out. The international community succeeded in eliminating 1,300 metric tons of Syrian CW by the end of 2014. The huge Russian CW inventory has also now been eliminated. The final elimination of U.S. CW stockpiles is scheduled for 2023.
Progress ... ... Few expect that he will allow a fair hearing from defense and intelligence officials, who are known to be strong advocates of New START extension.
Light in the Darkness
I cannot deny that prospects for a rejuvenation of arms control any time soon appear ...
... more toward those agreements that were signed before Donald Trump came to power. This is not only the INF Treaty, but also the New START Treaty, which raises big questions and doubts about how good the treaty is and whether it should be renewed at all. ... ... By quitting the treaty, Trump sent a message to his internal political opponents that he is a much tougher politician towards Russia than, for example, Obama, or that accusations of his softness towards the Kremlin are completely unfounded.
Consequences of the US leaving the INF Treaty
Dmitry Stefanovich:
...
... Nuclear Forces Treaty (The INF Treaty) and the existing international architecture for strategic stability. Representatives of Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) took part in the discussion.
On January 31, 2019, International Multimedia Press ... ... U.S. and Canadian Studies, retired Major General, RIAC expert, noted that the U.S. withdrawal from the INF Treaty threatens New START — an agreement between the Russian Federation and the United States of America on Measures for the Further Reduction ...
... Committee on Foreign Relations. The document explained Russia’s position with regard to the allegations of the United States that Moscow had failed to observe the INF Treaty [
5
]. Without going into much detail as to the essence of the mutual accusations, it should be noted that Washington’s failure to embrace a constructive approach presents the key threat to prolonging New START beyond 2021. Most importantly, Russia is presumably prepared to agree to a system of so-called “cabinet-level written political commitments”. Those are possible with regard to the cap on the total number of ballistic missile launch tubes on U.S. Ohio-class submarines (with the ...
Interview with Igor Ivanov, RIAC President and Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (1998–2004)
Igor Ivanov
, RIAC President and Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Russian Federation (1998–2004),... ... unilaterally withdraw from the ABM Treaty. Yes, the Strategic Offensive Reductions Treaty was signed in Moscow in 2002, and the New START was signed in 2010. And both these documents are, without a doubt, very important. However, they came as a result of ...
... this, because the demise of the treaty has a direct bearing on all members of the nuclear club.
And fourth, in this situation Russia and the United States should focus on preparations for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). Withdrawal from the INF Treaty and, more importantly, refusal to extend the New START Treaty would create major risks for the global non-proliferation regime, and the next NPT Review Conference may turn ...
... futures are at stake.
The full letter is reproduced below.
Open Letter from American, Russian, and European Young Leaders on the Critical Importance of Arms Control
Dear... ... conversation on the risks posed by intermediate-range ballistic missiles.
2) Extend the New START
Treaty until 2026. Set to expire in February 2021, the New START Treaty provides... ... Center, Russia
Pasha Sharikov, Head of the Center for Applied Research, Institute for USA and Canada Studies, Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia
Francesco Siccardi, Program...
... threat due to their ability to carry nuclear warheads. Even with a range of several thousand kilometres they would ensure guaranteed destruction of their targets with warheads... ... This the End of Nuclear Arms Control?
The INF Treaty may still be rescued, but only if Russia and the United States demonstrate political goodwill. The two countries need... ... own weapons systems and accept the opponent’s explanations.
The prospects of the New START being prolonged are moot, and the balance may shift either way. In fact, if...
... and multilateral arrangements to minimise the mutual threat of inadvertent escalation.
The prospects for the extension of the New START agreement in the absence of the INF Treaty may lead to several outcomes that appear rather similar from the Russian and US perspectives. True, such a scenario may serve to reinforce perceptions on both sides that the other is an unreliable partner. Yet at the same time, the absence of mutual accusations over alleged INF violations – since the treaty would no longer exist – may lead to a healthier bilateral environment,...
