... an endless supply of weaponry flooded into Ukraine would result in a relatively quick victory over what they naively believed to be a largely ineffective and technologically outdated Russian military lingering from the Soviet era. More to the point, NATO underestimated Russia’s willingness to coalesce in defending the national interests and cultural independence from that of an increasingly unrecognizable and opaque European identity.
Andrey Kortunov:
Beyond the Conflict in Ukraine: Towards New European Security ...
... cannot be won if the potential enemy has nuclear weapons and, most importantly, is ready to use them.
Greater reliance on nuclear deterrence is necessary to cool the European “leaders” who have lost their mind, speak of an inevitable clash between Russia and NATO, and urge their armed forces to prepare for it. Naturally, proliferation also carries risks. But given the current disorder and emerging division of the world, these risks are much smaller than those that may result from the weakening of nuclear ...
A societal transformation in Russia that started before fighting broke out in Ukraine in early 2022 now seems irreversible
Two and a half years into its war against the West in Ukraine, Russia certainly finds itself on a course toward a new sense of itself.
This trend actually ...
... intentions of the Declaration are going to be translated into specific actions beyond Ukraine.
December 1991
— Russia joined the North Atlantic Cooperation Council.
June 1994
— Russia joined the Partnership for Peace (PfP) program.
May 1997
— NATO-Russia Founding Act was signed.
March 1998
— Russian Permanent Mission to NATO was established.
September 2000
— NATO Information Office in Moscow was opened.
May 2002
— Russia-NATO Council was established.
April 2008
— NATO Bucharest summit was ...
... leading nuclear powers, and in the most sensitive to one of them geopolitical region. Until now, I have considered such a dangerous development of the situation extremely unlikely, but today it is a reality fraught with a direct military clash between Russia and NATO. But the main thing is that the scenario you are asking about is not a matter of choice. The inability of the United States to inflict Russia’s defeat in Ukraine may create an incentive for one of the American allies to acquire nuclear weapons....
... has acquired a new important dimension of a proxy war between Russia and the United States/NATO. With that war continuing to escalate, there is a growing prospect of a direct kinetic collision between the West and Russia, fraught with the danger of a NATO-Russia war.
Hybrid war and transition to a new world order
From the standpoint of the US foreign policy establishment, the conflict between the West and Russia, and further confrontation between the United States and China are the principal characteristics ...
... was intent to develop deeper strategic partnership
[11]
. While Chinese diplomats in Europe tend to talk about complex nature of the Ukrainian crisis and while speaking of the record they can even criticize Russia
[12]
, their colleagues working in Russia directly blame NATO for the escalation of the Ukrainian crisis
[13]
. Such Chinese position allows China to continue playing the role of a potential mediator or peacemaker in the conflict and at the same time leads to repeated calls coming from some Western leaders ...
... In Asia, there is no alliance of powers for which the struggle with Russia would mostly determine foreign policy, and the United States, although actively present in the region, does not have organisational and spatial resources there comparable to NATO.
Under these conditions, the region neighbouring southern Russia presents the most room for foreign policy manoeuvring. This includes relations with the states of the Middle East and those which belong to the “southern belt” of former Soviet republics — the countries of the Caucasus and Central Asia. Now ...
... binding agreement to recognize the region’s independence. It is a condition for Serbia’s membership in the EU.
In the wake of Russia’s special military operation in Ukraine, Western countries chose to fast-track Kosovo’s nation-building and stepped ... .... Belgrade, for its part, cannot accept a monoethnic Kosovo.
The administration of U.S. President Joe Biden is a champion of NATO’s aggression against Yugoslavia in 1999 and the course that led Kosovo to proclaim independence in 2008. Belgrade expects ...
... single community. But since the beginning of the 2000s, there has been a process of politicisation of the OSCE in favour of the interests of Western countries. Russia has increasingly viewed NATO expansion as a security threat. Instruments such as the Russia-NATO Council were unable to absorb the growing contradictions. The lack of effective and equal institutions that would take into account the interests of Russia and integrate it into the common security space ultimately led to growing alienation and a ...
