... ceasefire agreement drafted by Russian and Turkish diplomats. But he could hardly afford such escapades four months later. While President of Egypt Abdel Fattah el-Sisi is making threatening statements, PMCs (which the West believes to have arrived from Russia) remain the only buffer keeping the GNA’s forces from capturing Sirte and Jufra on the route to Tobruk and Benghazi. Russia–Turkey consultations are preventing the GNA from launching an offensive against these key areas. Second, Moscow had never banked on the field marshal as the unconditional ...
... opened up opportunities to coordinate efforts on containing Turkey regionally (in which Abu-Dhabi and Cairo would happily assist). A steady UAE–Syria rapprochement is greatly advanced by their resentment of Turkey’s regional policies.
Ruslan Mamedov:
Russia's “Wait and See” Policies and the Libyan Settlement
Turkey entrenched its Libyan presence by signing a memorandum of understanding with the GNA on maritime
zones
, and a memorandum on security and military cooperation. Doubts were raised about the legal status of the agreements, and its very signing drew harsh criticism from several countries (primarily Greece). This is why it has never ...
... cannot participate in any negotiations on the post-war structure of Libya, and the Minister of the Interior of the F. Saraj Government
announced
that Libya will not be able to end the war until it’s East is liberated from H. Haftar.
Ruslan Mamedov:
Russia's “Wait and See” Policies and the Libyan Settlement
The GNA is ready to continue the attack on the position of the LNA. Turkish troops can play an important role in that, considering that Ankara doesn’t hide the presence of its troops in Libya. The escalation of hostilities in Libya is taking place against ...
... of Russian companies to Libya is still on the agenda for Libyans of different factions,
including
the al-Sarraj government. Thus, within the framework of the Russia-Africa
Summit
in Sochi in October 2019, a number of agreements were signed with the GNA concerning the supply of one million tons of Russian wheat to Tripoli, as well as the implementation of projects in the field of
exploration and electrification
.
It is not Russian interests but regional dynamics that dictate the development of the situation in Libya. Even though the regional level ...