... instability seems to have become the new Syrian norm. Getting used to this uncertain reality is perceived by many inside and outside Syria as something inevitable that will have to continue.
Whatever the security threats, the Syrian authorities, backed by Russia and Iran, are generally in control of the domestic political situation. Above all, real challenges to the regime’s foundations lie in the economy, which is sinking ever faster into a deep hole. The strangling effect of Western sanctions is on a rising trajectory....
... active opposition to the Turkish operation from the United States, which is cornered with optimizing its resources in the Middle East, as well as Ankara's position on accepting Finland and Sweden to NATO. However, if Turkey faces active opposition from Iran, Russia, and the United States, the operation may be postponed.
Kirill Semenov:
Istanbul Terrorist Attack: What Awaits Turkey and its Neighbors?
Syria considers any attacks on its territory a violation of national sovereignty. Turkey, in turn, refers ...
... small projects. Some Gulf Arab states have signaled that they might be willing to support reconstruction, perhaps hoping to get Syria out of Iran’s orbit. But for now, they are hesitant to take the risk. For the same reason, Damascus’ other allies—Russia and Iran—which, however, have already done a lot to preserve the Syrian statehood, are constrained. Despite proposals to adjust and clarify the position of the U.S. and EU in terms of Damascus taking certain steps in exchange for the easing of the sanction ...
... be key in resolving the Syrian crisis. Economic reintegration may prove to be a catalyst for the peace process. This working paper presents a political economy model for the settlement of the situation in Syria. The author explores the positions of Russia, Iran and China in Syria and their points of interaction. Possible scenarios for the development of the situation in Syria are analysed in detail, as are the modalities of the impact of the Ukraine crisis on the configuration of external actors of the ...
Paradoxical as it may sound, the bunch of contradictions that has accumulated in Russia–Iran relations does not stand in the way of rapprochement between the two countries
Russia and Iran are finding ever more points of convergence in their foreign policies and across the domain of economic cooperation. It is no coincidence that a record ...
... Iranian-backed ground forces, solidifying the state’s hold on power and expanding its territorial control through concomitant diplomatic efforts.
Throughout the Syrian war, regularized military and political exchanges have served to strengthen the Russia-Iran relationship. With the changing military dynamics in Syria, Russia, Iran, and Turkey spearheaded the Astana Process as a parallel track to the UN mediation. Moscow’s diplomatic and military gains on the ground have also embroiled them in a broader ...
... Moscow’s influence on Tehran remain limited, though Russia is trying to show GCC countries its ability to influence the implementation of the Iran Nuclear Deal. The resumption of the JCPOA as a whole is in the interests of all Gulf countries, including Iran. This is also important for Russia since it considers ensuring security in the Gulf a key regional goal. By expanding the dialogue between Iran and the GCC countries Moscow would be seen as an active participant in strengthening the region’s security; hence why Russia is actively ...
... at. Seemingly, talks on
wheat deliveries
promise tangible outcomes. However, Russia has been one of the major exporters of wheat before, so this is nothing particularly new. By the end of 2021, agricultural products
accounted
for nearly 80% of the Iranian-Russian trade turnover.
Bolstering trade in
national currencies
may appear a more fundamental issue. However, this process was set in motion a while ago—in late 2021,
over 70%
of trade transactions between Russia and Iran were nominated in national ...
On June 7, 2022, Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General, delivered a lecture at the Iranian Institute for European and American Studies (EURICA) on the impact of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict on the relations of great powers in the Middle East and North Africa
On June 7, 2022, Andrey Kortunov, RIAC Director General, delivered a lecture at the Iranian Institute for European and American Studies (EURICA) on the impact ...
... expected. In addition, the structure of relations between the Republic of Belarus and the EU differ from similar relations with Russia.
Dmitry Razumovsky:
What Could Take BRICS Forward?
The Republic of Moldova is a “loser” in this crisis. The country ... ... significant increase in fuel prices, which will also inevitably affect economic growth.
Finally, two other neighbouring countries, Iran and North Korea, should be mentioned. Tehran has a unique window of opportunity. The risk of a shortage of oil in the world ...
