Escalation signaling is a tremendously difficult task that allows for some flexibility but also raises the risks of further escalation
The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has demonstrated an unprecedented use of missile capabilities and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) by both militaries. While Ukraine’s capabilities present a significant military-technical challenge for Russia, the fact that they are supplied by third parties, including the United States, has become a political issue aggravating...
As the world's two super-nuclear powers, the relations of Russia and the U.S. are inseparable from nuclear risk
Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia and the United States have been engaged in an almost open nuclear game, but in different forms and with different objectives. Both Russia and the United States are well aware of the presence of the nuclear weapons factor in this conflict. Russia's main objective is to deter the United States and NATO from directly intervening...
... is possible only via compromise. In this sense, assessing the likelihood and content of negotiations should be coupled with an analysis of the real capabilities and intentions of the parties to defend their interests under the current conditions.
The Ukrainian crisis that has snowballed into an intense military-political conflict between Russia and the Western nations supporting Ukraine implies a clash of the political interests, whose significance is defined by the participants as vital and crucial,...
The cost of a conflict with Russia for the United States will be measured not only and not so much by support for Ukraine, but also by the enormous cost of containing the Russian-Chinese tandem
The aggravation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is an indicator of the growing imbalance in the existing system of international relations. This imbalance is characterised by the emergence of new conflicts and resumption of old ones, with large-scale human casualties and risks of further escalation....
The EU will experience the full impact of its misguided foreign policy
Article Review
In an
article
for the
Meer Magazine
, Michael von der Schulenburg explores the opportunities the EU has missed in the context of the ongoing conflict in and around Ukraine, while noting that politicians, think tanks and media across Europe are once more embracing the belief that weapons are the only means of ensuring security. This dangerous belief, he argues, has resulted in the sacrifice of human lives in...
Report No. 85 / 2023
Report No. 85 / 2023
The Taliban’s (an organization whose activities are banned in the Russian Federation) rise to power in Afghanistan in August 2021 and the conflict in Ukraine have both had an impact on regional trends in the Middle East. This report sheds light on the transformation of new elements in Middle Eastern state relations and examines the changing role of key players in the region. It analyses the impact that the events in Afghanistan and Ukraine have had on the...
... 60th anniversary of the Cuban Crisis: the decision taken by the John F. Kennedy administration to impose a blockade on Cuba was made at the White House in the evening of October 20, having triggered the acute phase of the crisis.
Aleksey Arbatov:
The Ukrainian Crisis and Strategic Stability
Despite the obvious similarity between the two episodes of military and political stand-off between Moscow and Washington, there are several fundamental differences that clearly highlight the unprecedented danger ...
Russia has not done anything like mobilization in this century, and that using a nuclear weapon in Ukraine makes little sense for Vladimir Putin
Director General of the Russian International Affairs Council Andrey
Kortunov says Russia has not done anything like mobilization in this
century, and that using a nuclear weapon in Ukraine "makes little sense"
for Vladimir Putin.
Watch his interview with CNN’s Christiane Amanpour.
Working paper № 69 / 2022
Working paper № 69 / 2022
The working paper explores the factors that predetermined the Western switch from divergence to convergence in the 2020s along with the key features of the commenced consolidation within the ranks of the Collective West. Is current Western unity incidental or strategic? Is it transient or long-standing? How much do the interests of the major power centers of the Collective West diverge? How likely is this unity to extend to subsequent engagement...
On September 23, 2022, Shanghai Institute for International Studies (SIIS), in partnership with The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard University, held the tenth online international high-level expert round table, dedicated to the trends in the development of world politics in the context of acute recent crises
On September 23, 2022, Shanghai Institute for International Studies (SIIS), in partnership with The Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs at Harvard...
