Working Paper #66, 2022
Working Paper #66, 2022
The Russian-Ukrainian conflict will lead to long-term global socio-economic and political consequences in the foreseeable future. Russian and foreign experts are currently exploring a wide range of scenarios for such transformation—from relatively positive to extremely negative. The author formulated three potentially possible options for the current world order transformation, assessing the probability and consequences of the practical implementation...
The event was timed to coincide with the publication of the collective monograph “The China Factor in the Mediterranean” in a series of books “Reports of the Institute of Europe RAS”
On March 22, 2022, the conference “The China Factor in the Mediterranean” was held at the Institute of Europe of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS). The event was timed to coincide with the publication of the collective monograph “
The China Factor in the Mediterranean
” in a series ...
... primary culprit is, of course, President of the United States Donald Trump, although fingers are certainly being pointed at European leaders too, from British Prime Minister Boris Johnson to his Spanish opposite number Pedro Sánchez. The basic premise ... ... that western healthcare, just like the western socio-political system, is far more effective “in principle” than that of China. Unfortunately for the West, however, the countless managerial missteps of certain individuals and the inconsistencies brought ...
... Trump administration
announced
that it would be cutting the WHO’s aid package from $123 million to $58 million. The reason, according to U.S. officials, was that the assistance offered by other countries, particularly those that are members of the European Union, had failed to materialize. In reality, however, China received help and support from all corners – including a number of European states – during its darkest hours. And now that the country has got the spread of the virus under control, it is offering assistance to Europe, even though there is ...
... rather destiny.
Second, only Europe can serve as an effective motor for Russian economic and social modernization. Russia already has aggregate scientific-technological potential that, for all practical intents and purposes, has, with the exception of China, no real match in Asia for the foreseeable future. Even more importantly, Europe is genuinely interested in Russia’s technological market, which could well serve as a catalyst for the continent’s own technological and economic development. (By contrast, Russia’s Asian partners remain perfectly content to continue to use ...
... slowly getting better.
What prospects do you see for our economic ties, maybe in the energy sphere as well, given the circumstances we are living in?
Igor Yushkov:
Sanctions vs. Cheap Oil: What is More Dreadful for Russia’s Fuel & Energy Complex?
For European Union countries, one main point is that they’re a net energy importer. The EU is the largest net energy importer in the world, bigger than Japan and China. Its production is scheduled to go down and its consumption is projected to rise. So it will need to fill that gap — that growing deficit — with energy from somewhere else. Now, of course, people are talking about diversification, about seeking ...
... concrete list of complaints to Berlin. However, Duda failed to present any such list, other than citing the treacherous German intention to build a new gas pipeline from Russia (Nord Stream 2), which, in his opinion, would bring harm greatly the Central European countries. The Finnish President Sauli Niinisto urged calm and restraint, a call that the audience massively ignored, thus stirring the measured pace of the discussion.
Russia and China Falling Off the Radar?
Dmitry Medvedev rekindled interest in the Ukrainian crisis. Making a speech early on the second day of the conference, he said Russia was ready to be “reasonably flexible” in fulfilling the Minsk agreements, without ...
... is
already delaying
the development of its pipelines in the region, and the anticipated period of low global commodities prices will make things even more difficult.
This is symptomatic of a wider problem facing Russia, namely that it cannot replace Europe with non-Western partnerships. China serves here as a perfect example, despite Russian claims that bilateral trade with China would hit $100bn in 2015, the figure actually
fell by 27.8% to $64.2bn
, largely due to the impact of sanctions and falling oil prices. Relatively modest trade ...
... compromise.
That is, the U.S. will not agree to cease democratization (arguably it can't help itself) or settle for a new detente in Europe. Moscow will have to find a way to turn German leadership to its favor, thereby blunting any future U.S. policy of containment ... ... Russia has worked hard over the summer to restore its credibility in seeing the Minsk-2 ceasefire agreement implemented.
#5: The China factor
Russia's relationship with China will ironically mirror its previous interaction with the West, cycles of engagement ...
... respects. Especially now with the sudden and dramatic rise of ISIS in the Middle East. The sanctions war escalates What was not expected, I suggest, that Russia then carefully and judiciously, as well as selectively hit back and the result is that now Europe’s farmers are suffering heavy losses, which will never, ever be replaced nor compensated adequately for, by the EU and US politicians, who have advocated such sanctions. Russia has other partners, waiting in the wings – notably from China and South America, ready and able to fill the trade gap, left by the EU’s sanctions. Russian dairy, meat, poultry, fish and vegetable producers are also now ramping up their own domestic production, to plug the gaps keep up with consumer demand....
