... representatives of the company and financial partner institutions from North America, Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific region. The briefing focused on the international political and geo-economic consequences of the crisis in relations between Russia and the West, the dynamics of Russia-China relations, instability issues in the post-Soviet space, India's place in the Eurasian integration processes, the future of the SCO and BRICS, and other topical issues in world politics.
... foreign business from the Russian market—not directly caused by the sanctions, but demonstrating “over-compliance,” excessive submission to them.
In the public mind, the destabilizing wave created the impression of the end of the story of the market economy in Russia, an impending catastrophe. But the catastrophe did not happen. The stage of stabilization has come, and it is important to use it correctly.
What to do?
Ivan Timofeev:
Is It Possible to Lift Sanctions Against Russia? — No
In the near future, ...
Russia’s Place in Tajikistan’s Agenda
For a while now, the crisis in Ukraine has remained peripheral in official Russia–Tajikistan relations. The relationship between Moscow and Dushanbe was traditionally dominated by a shared regional agenda ...
RIAC, Institute of Far Eastern Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences and Institute of International Studies at Fudan University Report #78 / 2022
RIAC, Institute of Far Eastern Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences and Institute of International Studies at Fudan University Report #78 ...
... cooperation, and assert themselves as the driving force behind global economic cooperation. Speaking at the first Eurasian Economic Forum in May of this year, President Vladimir Putin also said that Russia is not going to cut itself off from global economy; Russia will remain open.
As the world’s second-largest economy, China is widely and deeply integrated into the global economic chain, has great influence on the global economy, and is highly influenced by global markets.
Some academics have proposed ...
The decline of the Russian economy is not beneficial to China
The large-scale sanctions that have been slapped on Russia by the “collective West” naturally raised the question of its deepening and expanding economic relations with China. According to a number of parameters,...
... However, even such a transfer of export is unlikely to result in a radical revenue drop in the current supplier’s market situation. It is only possible with a significant rollback in oil prices. The new EU sanctions will have little impact on the Russian economy in the short term, especially given the aforementioned exceptions.
Other measures of the sixth package seem even less critical. The disconnection of three Russian banks from SWIFT does not make much of a difference for the Russian financial system,...
...
Iran in the SCO: a Forced “Look East” Strategy and an Alternative World Order
Iran’s potential as Russia’s economic partner far exceeds the current level. The Islamic Republic could well step in some of the vacant niches in various sectors of Russia’s economy, while Iran could also import a greater range of Russian commodities. Besides, Iran is a market as such, with many vacant niches where Russian investors can launch their enterprises.
At the same time, as a country, Tehran will never approach the ...
... threat to Russia, the hostility of the West toward it, and, most importantly, the scope of specific actions to contain Moscow have multiplied.
Large-scale Western sanctions have significantly exacerbated the challenges related to the modernization of the Russian economy. Russia is now excluded from the Western-centric global financial system, from technology and industrial goods. The official restrictions are accompanied by massive corporate boycotts. A large number of companies from countries friendly to Russia,...
... Russia has little choice but to go for even greater rapprochement with China in the new foreign policy and socio-economic environment.
Against this background, Chinese business is perceived as a force capable of bridging the gap with the West for the Russian economy. But is it all so clear-cut? Will these expectations be justified? Let’s find out.
Cautiousness of Big Business
Ivan Timofeev:
Ukrainian Crisis. Who Has the Upper Hand?
Amid unprecedented sanctions the West has imposed on Russia, big business ...
