... Huasheng, Andrey Kortunov:
Prepare for the Worst and Strive for the Best. Russia’s and China’s Perceptions of Developments in International Security
No doubt, national leaders find many compelling reasons for their decisions to raise the stakes in global ... ... of the world.
Given all these trends, it comes as no surprise to hear that the US leadership has often been skeptical about arms control. In 2002, under president George W. Bush, the US withdrew from the Anti-Ballistic Missile (ABM) Treaty that for 30 ...
... non-proliferation in Asia appeared
concerning
even almost a quarter of century ago during the
so-called
“golden age of nuclear arms control”.
Alexander Yermakov:
Don’t Trust and Don’t Verify. New Normality for New START
As for the spatial dimension,... ... Washington’s stockpiles still surpass those of Beijing roughly tenfold, even though China is
predicted
to have about a thousand nuclear warheads by 2030. Moreover, preventing bilateral arms control arrangements from crumbling—let alone strengthening ...
... two global powers: the parameters of the world order, U.S. sanctions policy, competition between Asian-Pacific integration models, the economic, trade and technological rivalry between the two nations, as well as matters concerning global security and arms control. This analysis also considers U.S.– Chinese confrontation in terms of its potential negative and positive implications for Russia.
U.S. Foreign Policy Towards China: Outlook and Implications for Russia
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Policy Brief #44 / 2022
Policy Brief #44 / 2022
In October 2022, Joseph Biden’s administration published the new U.S. Nuclear Posture Review (NPR-2022) as part of a single National Defense Strategy (NDS-2022) package along with the Missile Defense Review (MDR-2022). The previous Nuclear Posture Review appeared in February 2018 during Donald Trump’s presidency.
One of the key functions of any publicly available strategic document is to deliver information to other states – both friendly and hostile...
... domestic political restrictions. He is not waging a war with the establishment, he is not linked with an election scandal and accusations of “collusion with Russia”. Possible agreements between the two presidents, albeit modest, have chances for further ... ... is going to give up containment.
In addition, there are topics that are simply necessary to discuss. Principal among them is arms control. The New START extension can be considered as a step forward, but it only provides a five-year delay for the development ...
... Elimination of Their Intermediate-Range and Shorter-Range Missiles (INF Treaty) was a cornerstone of the system of bilateral arms control agreements and a key factor in maintaining the fragile balance in the nuclear forces of the two countries. The withdrawal ... ... “Great Game” in which military security and other areas are under threat. Moreover, it will have a significant impact on international security and even the existing world order.
The arms control system will likely crumble, and we may very well see ...
... as possible and make the resumption of the talks as simple as possible
Amidst accusations of non-compliance towards Russia, on 20 October 2018 US President Donald Trump... ... end to military confrontation in Europe and has been one of the pillars of nuclear arms control.
Could the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty have been saved... ... is quite rightly considered one of the most significant achievements in the field of international security this century; the JCPOA held its ground even when Donald Trump...
... emergence of hypersonic weapons will introduce a number of destabilizing factors for international security. First, countries possessing such weapons will have an asymmetric... ... to Russia, the United States and China.
China
Andrey Kortunov:
Is There Life After Arms Control Death?
Despite its ambitious statements, China has not yet rolled out a... ... propel it to hypersonic speeds). According to some
reports
, the vehicle may be reusable. Northrop Grumman Corporation is
working
to design the combined-cycle Advanced...
... strategic stability in the world, fell apart before our very eyes. And now the foundations of the core instrument of global arms control – the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (START) – are starting to crumble too, as it is looking dangerously ... ... SORT treaties, has been pulled out from under us. Moreover, the collapse of the INF Treaty was accompanied by a litany of accusations against Russia in U.S. political circles and the media and counter accusations by Russia. And now the sides are accusing ...
... Nuclear Forces Treaty (the INF Treaty) signed by the USSR and the United States in 1987. Once again, contrived pretexts are being put forward that fail to convince anyone and yet again show that Washington continues to openly disregard the interests of international security, including the security of its closest allies in Europe, Asia and throughout the world.
It is perfectly clear that the withdrawal of the United States from the INF Treaty will only accelerate the deployment of that type of missile ...
