... has changed twice in this part of Eurasia. As a result of the Second Karabakh War in 2020, the balance of power—maintained for 26 years—underwent radical transformations. And this did not only concern a separate ethno-political conflict between Armenia and Azerbaijan. There was a quality change in the role of external forces. Turkey’s unprecedented involvement in the Azerbaijani military campaign to restore the latter’s territorial integrity was the first case of disturbing the status quo in the region, all that with a non-Soviet state and a NATO member involved. In September ...
... of the conflict in Ukraine, Russian manufacturers were unable to quickly deliver the equipment. Therefore, a vacuum was created in this area, which Yerevan needed to fill as soon as possible, as Baku continued to purchase arms, mainly from Israel and Turkey, putting military pressure on Armenia.
According to various assessments, the total volume of arms and military equipment contracts is
estimated at about $2 billion
with a wide range of products. The contracts include Pinaka MLRS, SWATHI radars, anti-tank missiles with ammunition,...
... between three options: direct control from the center, self-determination of the autonomy and the integrity of the AzSSR. As a result, the intra-state conflict turned into an interstate confrontation involving various external actors (Russia, Iran, Turkey, the U.S. and the European Union).
However, the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict had its own logic and dynamics. And it would be wrong to consider it only as one of the factors (albeit an important one) of the Soviet collapse. The appeal as of February 20, 1988 did not arise out of nothing. It was based ...
... (Switzerland, Finland, Sweden), today can take on such a job. It is unlikely that the post-Soviet countries will cope with it either. Turkey, on the other hand, has sufficient political weight, it is part of the Western security community, and at the same time ... ... are closely monitoring the situation.
Robert Quinn Carolan:
Neck and Neck: Ankara and Moscow in the New ‘Race for Africa’
Armenia also receives its bonuses from the conflict. Tens of thousands of Russians are moving to Yerevan. We are talking, among ...
A path forward would be to strengthen the strategic alliance between Russia and Armenia, with the aim of preventing Turkey, and by extension NATO, from establishing any domination in the post-Soviet Transcaucasia
This July will mark the 300th anniversary of
Peter the Great’s
Caspian campaign. The campaign proved costly for the Russian emperor in terms of lives ...
... and cultural monuments—both Christian Armenian and Islamic—would be restored and preserved under Russian protection. These would include the
Dadivank
and
Amaras
monasteries.
Basel Haj Jasem:
Will Moscow Lead a Historic Reconciliation Between Turkey and Armenia?
The road to such a peace is certainly not easy, but Moscow understands that decisive steps must be taken to ensure (1) that any peace is lasting peace, (2) that its position as a regional arbiter is preserved, and (3) that a balance of power ...
... focus on this point, because when we talk about economic stability not only in Armenia but in the entire region, we must take concrete steps."
We find that Moscow is currently able to revive the diplomatic agreements which were negotiated between Turkey and Armenia in 2009. Especially the opening of the land borders between the two neighboring countries, with the implementation of many of the terms of the agreement sponsored by Russia between Baku and Yerevan, and its control of the Nakhchivan and Lachin ...
... clashes had nothing to do with the disputed Nagorno-Karabakh region, as it is far from the Azerbaijani territories occupied by Armenia.
The city of Tovuz is located near the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline, the Baku-Tbilisi-Erzurum natural gas pipeline,... ... both of which are gates for Azerbaijan to transport its oil and natural gas, the so-called "Caspian Sea wealth," to Turkey, Europe and other global markets.
A Blow to Russian Interests
Christian Wollny:
Nagorno-Karabakh: A Frozen Conflict Rethawed
...
... fundamental part of any modern-day battle plan. However, they are liable to be just as damaging as conventional weapons.
What Can EU Do For You?
It is clear that a solution in the conflict over Nagorno-Karabakh is inconceivable without Russia. With Turkey deliberately instigating the Azerbaijan government, Russia sees itself as a mediator to both, Armenia and Azerbaijan. While there is a
Russian military base
located in Armenia, and is considered Armenia’s protector, Russian neutrality goes so far that Moscow supplies
weapons to both sides of the conflict
. While Russia's military strength ...
... of Nakhichevan. N-K, together with the Lachin corridor connecting it with Armenia, was supposed to enter Armenia, which would not lose the border with Iran, only transferred to the north of the current one, while the part of Nakhichevan departing to Armenia would exclude the connection of Azerbaijan with Turkey, which is strategically dangerous for Yerevan.
5. Finally, I will name one more project that was developed by the Russian and American co-chairs of the Group on Regional Conflicts of the Russian-American Dartmouth Conference, where I was previously ...