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The Price of Peace: The Parameters of a Possible Compromise in Donbass

... issue of the gradual expansion of the peacekeepers’ mandate and the territorial coverage of peacekeeping operation in line with that mandate. In the long term, the best solution would be to expand the peacekeeping operation to cover the entire DPR and LPR territory, with the understanding that this expansion would run in parallel with the implementation of the entire package of Minsk Agreements. While no such mechanism has formally been written into the Minsk Agreements, it would not run counter to them. After all, the Minsk Agreements provide for the restoration of Ukraine’s sovereignty over the entire territory of the Donetsk ...

02.10.2017

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Advance or Contain? How to Respond to the Escalation in Donbass

... Djurica Yulia Nikitina: The Post-Soviet Space in 2017 Moscow is interested in imposing a long-term freeze on the conflict and promoting reintegration of the two republics with Ukraine on the condition that they receive special status in complying with the Minsk Agreements. But we cannot expect this to happen in the foreseeable future. Under the existing circumstances, two responses to the escalation are possible. First, a large-scale offensive by the DPR and LPR armies to rebuff the Ukrainian force, inflict a major defeat, sap its initiative, and force it to comply with the ceasefire. But this is a high-risk scenario. The rebels may lack the strength for a decisive victory, whereas the Ukrainian force is ...

28.02.2017

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