... and United Nations Security Council (UNSC), the Islamic Republic’s regional activities and missiles program are more of a concern to the U.S. and its regional allies.
Meanwhile, Iran and Russia seemingly have different views on the aftermath of the JCPOA and Iran’s non-nuclear dossiers. Tehran rejects any new nuclear and non-nuclear negotiations absolutely; Whereas Moscow bears a macro plan in mind. Russia
believes
the “normalization” of the JCPOA doesn’t require addressing Iran’s “missile program ...
... it faces a number of inhibiting factors. Both Washington and Tehran are already shaping their vision and linking their actions to pre-conditions for the other party in order to revive the JCPOA. While Biden said that the US is ready to return to the JCPOA if the Iranians fully comply with their obligations, the Iranians noted the need for compensation for the damage and guarantees. The Biden administration may delay returning to the JCPOA or making a deal with an eye to get itself a better position in the new ...
... Timofeev:
US Left Isolated, Iran Nuclear Deal Under Threat: What Will Crisis Over Iran in UN Security Council Lead to?
The expiration of a five-year embargo on the supply of conventional arms to Iran was a significant reason for a new attack on the JCPOA. Iran will get the opportunity to fully enter the global arms market. Even despite serious economic difficulties due to US sanctions, Tehran is likely to be ready to concentrate resources on filling serious gaps in the material support of its armed forces....
Serious political crisis around the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on the Iranian nuclear program became the most significant event in recent times
The reason was the approaching expiration of the five-year term of the arms embargo and prohibition on ballistic missile transfers to Iran. The
UN Security Council resolution ...
... dissatisfied with Trump's unilateral policies. Iran's previous experience in negotiations with European powers to save JCPOA, lift sanctions, and the INSTEX suggests for them to be on the US's side eventually. The only thing that can bring Europe closer to Iran is the fear of JCPOA's death, but it seems that even this critical issue will not change Europe's behavior. Thus the answer to
Shamkhani's
question about whether or not Europe should "save dignity and support multilateralism or accept humiliation and help unilateralism?...
... often accused of being utterly unpredictable. Yet on a number of issues he has demonstrated a high degree of consistency. Arms control is a prime example.
In 2017, Trump delivered on his promise to withdraw from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) six-nation agreement on the Iranian nuclear program. In 2019, he canceled the Intermediate Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty with Russia. His plan now to leave the Open Skies Treaty, a 1992 accord that allows for aerial reconnaissance of the territory of 35 countries in Europe and North ...
... his legacy and do the opposite as an animating concern across very different policy arenas.
Crucially at a time when there was a relatively inexperienced and powerful Crown Prince in Saudi, there was a decision to go for a maximum pressure campaign on Iran. The US eventually pulled out of the JCPOA, and everything became zero-sum.
Actions beget reactions
, maximalism on one side is rarely met with rolling over on the other side, it normally generates a counter-reaction—and unsurprisingly it did so on this occasion with Iran.
The U.S. policy ...
... diplomatic representatives of countries in the Middle East region, as well as experts from various research institutes.
Russian International Affairs Council was represented by Pyotr Kortunov, RIAC Program Coordinator, who made a report on the future of the JCPOA. A number of other issues related to security in the Middle East were touched upon during the conference: confrontation between the Gulf countries and Iran, prospects for resolving the Palestine-Israel conflict, potential escalation of regional conflicts, and other.
... proposes to extend the last legally binding agreement limiting nuclear arsenals of Russia and the US — START III. The EU has welcomed this proposal. Nevertheless, the Americans have decided to bide their time. In this respect, both for Russia and Iran, this US withdrawal from the JCPOA is not an exception, but one of the elements of Washington’s system policy. Moreover, this characteristic of American politics means that it makes no sense for Iran to make a new deal with such an inconsistent actor as Washington. Even if new ...
... the Agreement’s dispute resolution mechanism only a couple of days later. Tehran has interpreted this step as European capitulation to Washington’s maximum pressure policy. It has warned that should the file be referred to the UN Security Council, Iran will not only abandon the JCPOA, but will also consider exiting the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons.
The JCPOA—a key pillar of the international non-proliferation architecture and regional security in West Asia—
now hangs by a thread
.
The recent crisis ...
