... profound absence of a coherent policy will affect regional actors such as Turkey, Iran and Israel. Thus, the Gulf is slated to explode even without war on Iran because the whole... ... Tripoli, unless an agreement is reached among militant groups in addition to Turkey, the UAE, Qatar, Egypt, the USA and Russia. The impeachment process of US President Donald Trump... ... would determine the future of conflicts in many countries starting from Iraq, Syria, Yemen, Libya and the future government in Lebanon, Iraq and Algeria, Turkey and Iran...
....
Egypt
:
(a) Economic reforms succeed. The country evolves in a liberal direction.
(b) The Muslim Brotherhood comes to power as a relatively pragmatic force.
Jordan follows a path similar to that of Egypt.
Bahrain ends the kingdom after protests.
Qatar
continues as hitherto.
Israel
, Gaza and the
West Bank
continue their existing increase in tensions (as described above).
Yemen
continues to be war-torn. Kuwait, the UAE and Oman continue their current path.
The North
Iran
will in all cases continue with the basic structure of its existing political system. But whether the system hardens or develops in a more open direction will widely depend on exterior conditions....