... cooperation, but that it is also allied with a NATO member that played a decisive role in the Alliance’s two recent expansions—in particular, in the accession of Finland and Sweden.
Andrey Petrov:
Peace in Southern Caucasus: What Awaits Russia in Azerbaijan?
At the same time, Iran perceives the strengthening of the Turkic tandem in the Caucasus as NATO and the Collective West cementing their influence [
2
]. The fact that Azerbaijan has a long and consistent interaction with Israel adds a special acrimony. Israeli supplies ...
... not seek additional support from the EU and Iran.
Thirdly, strengthening India's position in the South Caucasus will help to level out the regional power balance. Today, the presence of non-regional actors, such as Israel and Pakistan, on the side of Azerbaijan, which have confrontational or competitive relations with Iran, cement power imbalances. Therefore, if India's involvement in the region, as well as its rapprochement with Armenia, is brewing these imbalances, Iran may positively welcome this prospect.
Overall, India and Iran's interests in the South Caucasus ...
... oscillating between three options: direct control from the center, self-determination of the autonomy and the integrity of the AzSSR. As a result, the intra-state conflict turned into an interstate confrontation involving various external actors (Russia, Iran, Turkey, the U.S. and the European Union).
However, the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict had its own logic and dynamics. And it would be wrong to consider it only as one of the factors (albeit an important one) of the Soviet collapse. The appeal as of February 20, 1988 did not arise out of nothing. It was based on the ...
... increase in outlay on the project, the railroad could be built without affecting the protected areas.
In the context of possible foreign policy benefits of the project under consideration for Iran, it is also worth considering the likely changes in Iranian-Azerbaijani relations, which are currently in a deep crisis. Thus, the Azerbaijani Embassy in Tehran
suspended
its work following the murder of a guard on January 27. Both Baku and Tehran are constantly
accusing
one or another person of spying for the ...
... through Kazakhstan without the sanctions regimes being violated. Their skilful implementation will benefit the country. Like Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan is benefiting from rising energy prices.
Armenia, Georgia and Kazakhstan can be considered the main beneficiaries ... ... significant increase in fuel prices, which will also inevitably affect economic growth.
Finally, two other neighbouring countries, Iran and North Korea, should be mentioned. Tehran has a unique window of opportunity. The risk of a shortage of oil in the world ...
Azerbaijan, Iran, Kazakhstan, the Russian Federation, and Turkmenistan met recently to sign the convention on the legal status of the resource-rich Caspian Sea, a document more than two decades in the making. Meeting in the Kazakh coastal town of Aktau in mid-August,...
... Caspian. To resolve the latter issue, by the way, the trilateral format is not enough, even under the most positive scenario, since Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan also claim their right for Caspian resources.
It should not be forgotten that in the Russia-Iran-Azerbaijan trio the last participant obviously loses to the other two in both political and economic power. For geographic reasons, Baku in this cooperation acts more as an indispensable intermediary between Tehran and Moscow, in their energy and logistics ...
... spoke about the key issues of the international agenda that will be discussed at the forthcoming UN General Assembly, including the settlement of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict, end of the war in Ukraine, reduction of tensions over the nuclear deal with Iran, and Turkey's heated relations with the West.
- Andrey Vadimovich, how do you assess the prospects for the meeting of the Foreign Ministers of Azerbaijan and Armenia on the fields of the UN General Assembly?
- Any meeting between high representatives of these two countries is very important, since contacts, exchange of positions, comparison of viewpoints, perhaps the establishment of relations ...
... and Iran, both of which claim the role of independent actors with interests different from those of Moscow and Washington. At the same time, Ankara and Tehran offer different participation models for resolving the confrontation. While Turkey has taken Azerbaijan’s side
[6]
, Iran attempts to act as an intermediary balancing between Yerevan and Baku
[7]
. In this context, Turkey’s stance as a NATO country is significantly different from that of its NATO allies, the United States and France, which advocate a compromise ...
... opportunities for Yerevan — depending on how well Armenia will manage to cooperate in economic and security spheres in a more competitive environment. The two indicators for these relations will be the railway construction project and transit of Iranian gas through Armenia.
Azerbaijan will continue to remain the major threat for the Republic of Nagorno Karabakh and Armenia. Gas exports will not be able to compensate for Azerbaijan’s dwindling oil production, even after the completion of the second stage of the Shah ...
