An outlook for the year 2148
Scientific forecasting of future international conflicts is a critical task, since predictions influence the present and encourage change in response to impending confrontations. Its significance is only partly mitigated by the fact that international relations have never been conflict-free....
Interview
The mathematical and statistical methods of quantitative data analysis are essential tools for political analysis in the U.S. - the birthplace of the academic discipline of political science. While in Russia a quantitative approach hasn’t spread its wings yet. In this interview
John Freeman
, former President of the American Political Science Association's Section for Political Methodology, talks about the use of quantitative methods for assessing the probability of armed conflicts...