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A game approach to the Crimean crisis. Part II: Game Solution

Game structure By design, the game is implemented in two stages. At stage 1, Ukraine and Russia choose levels of financial transfers and military involvement not knowing each other’s choice. At stage 2, Crimean voters observe the levels chosen and opt for the preferred country. Does it sound familiar? Hopefully so, because the game could be regarded as a modified all-pay auction in which the good to be auctioned is Crimea and Sevastopol, the auctioneer are Crimean voters, and the bidders...

19.03.2014

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A game approach to the Crimean crisis. Part I: Game Description

Game theory can say something non-trivial about any strategic interaction, and separatism movements are by no means an exception. In the following, I model the strife between Russian and Ukrainian governments over the Crimean Republic and Sevastopol as ...

15.03.2014

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In your opinion, what are the US long-term goals for Russia?

U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements	33 (31%)
U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity	30 (28%)
U.S. wants to dissolve Russia	24 (22%)
U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China	21 (19%)