... which began in September 2008, concluded with five joint ministerial meetings. The dialogue halted following the meeting in Bahrain in 2013.Observers' opinions on MBZ's Ankara visit differ after the tumult of the past. However, everyone agrees that these ... ... regardless of differences.Without a doubt, the Gulf reconciliation that started in Saudi Arabia’s al-Ula province and the Turkish-Egyptian rapprochement are two key developments that have left an impact on the region. MBZ’s Ankara visit also has a role to ...
... Diversification away from oil stops, and the country mostly deals in “arms and oil”.
Egypt
(a) Becomes ever more oppressive. Attempts to invigorate the economy fail. Terrorism.
(b) War in Egypt (like Libya + Syria).
Jordan
follows a similar path to Egypt.
Bahrain
continues as it is today.
“
Black Swans
”:
Qatar
may experience an invasion from Saudi Arabia, resulting in a more oppressive system.
Iraq
in the North, may, but this is more uncertain, also experience a Saudi invasion in the Sunni dominated ...
... engage the US and Saudi Arabia to those efforts, because the current guarantors of the Syrian settlement [Russia, Iran and Turkey] may need help in the long-term."
On June 5, a number of countries, including Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain and Egypt, cut diplomatic ties with Qatar and embargoed all sea, air and land traffic to the country, accusing Doha of supporting terrorist groups, particularly the Muslim Brotherhood terrorist movement, as well as of interfering in other countries' domestic ...
