... transactions remains a challenge. However, over time this problem will be solved. Having built “alternate airfields” in neighbouring countries, business may well return to Russia.
Turkmenistan is likely to benefit tangibly from rising gas prices. Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan, on the contrary, may lose due to the reduction in the inflow of remittances from Russia due to the contraction of the market. Uzbekistan is more stable in this regard due to the larger scale of the economy.
The Republic of Belarus will experience the impact of Western sanctions. In part, they will be offset by deepening trade ties with Russia. But due to the contraction of the Russian market, the effect of such a partnership may be lower than expected. In addition, the ...
... other hand, in Belarus, where the presidential election sparked large-scale protests closely monitored by the international community, Alexander Lukashenko has managed to stay in power. The matter of the reasons for such different protest outcomes in Belarus and Kyrgyzstan is, therefore, of key interest. This article aims to explore the factors that might have led to the varying outcomes via a comparative analysis of the so-called colour revolutions in the post-Soviet space.
Post-election protests are not a new ...
... decade longer; Moldova is torn in both directions, but leaning more toward the West; Azerbaijan is closely allied with Turkey; Uzbekistan is vociferously independent; and Turkmenistan is reclusive, shunning foreign connections. That leaves only Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan—five out of fourteen ex-republics—as Moscow’s formal allies and partners. In many of those countries, however, particularly in Central Asia, China has long been a major outside player.
Moreover, since gaining independence ...
... swim. Today you can see our poor hen rushing along the riverbank and calling back home her beloved ducklings, but this is hopeless -they will never come back”.
I recall this metaphor when I look at the current reaction from the Kremlin to events in Belarus, in the South Caucasus and in Kyrgyzstan. The ducklings — each of them in its own way — are deserting the henhouse and are trying to get to the river. Will they make it? Nobody knows for sure. Vladimir Putin, unlike Mikhail Gorbachev, does not watch this in bitter despair; he ...
EAEU and MERCOSUR: Opportunities for Transcontinental Cooperation
The transformation of international trade has significantly picked up pace as of late. Sanctions and protectionism (and its rather aggressive variant used by the United States) prompt states to create alternative institutions and integration alliances based on the principles of liberalism, equality and openness.
Acting together is the only way for states to withstand such a disturbance of the balance in the global trade system and...
This publication includes 53 articles analysing the main development trends in the post-Soviet space – both the geopolitical region as a whole and the individual countries that make it up. The anthology consists of three sections: the first section is retrospective in nature and looks at the post-Soviet space 20 years after the collapse of the USSR; the second section analyses the current state of the former Soviet nations; and the third section provides a number of forecasts for the development...
On January 1, 2015, the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) – a union of Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan – was officially launched. Armenia’s accession treaty came into force on January 2, 2015, while Kyrgyzstan is set to join the Union in May 2015. Tajikistan is taking an interest in the EEU as well. During a meeting between the Russian and Uzbek Presidents in Tashkent on December 10, 2014, the parties expressed their readiness to hold consultations ...
