... And sometimes without much regard even for the interests of ‘passengers’.
Sergei Melkonian, Jason Wahlang:
India in the South Caucasus: Implications for Russia, Iran and Turkey
So far, the key problem in the Caucasus could be the lack of regional ... ... (both from Russia, the West and countries of the East) lie in the lack of intra-regional unity. Even if we assume the success of Armenia’s drift to the West, this does not remove the problematic situation, as there are traces of Georgia correcting its rigid pro-Western course. Azerbaijan does not intend to get embedded in any structured integrations, preferring ...
... 10, 2021, the Carnegie Endowment in Washington D.C. hosted an online international expert roundtable on the situation in the South Caucasus region and the role of external players in this region. Other discussion topics included the results and international political consequences of the Second Karabakh War in 2020, the dynamics of the protracted political crisis in Georgia, the upcoming early parliamentary elections in Armenia on June 20, 2021, and other developments in the region.
The event was attended by about forty experts, former and current ...
... growth of innovative businesses.
Opportunities
Under-explored markets such as renewable energy, biological agriculture and high-tech;
Affordable and skilled labour resources available;
Possible regional cooperation between the three main countries - Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan - instead of seeking different alliances outside the South Caucasus
Threats
Remaining ethnic tensions (internal and external) and the constraint of continuous political repetition compulsion regarding the de facto autonomous territories;
Laissez-faire the corruption and cronyism at all levels of the ...
... North Caucasus, the war of Russia and Turkey, etc. Another defrosting mechanism can be a regional war, which arose initially due to the escalation in Nagorno-Karabakh — Turkey, Russia and, less likely, Iran may be involved into a full-scale war of Armenia and Azerbaijan. This may also involve Georgia in these catastrophic processes. In this sense, the key to peace in the South Caucasus lies in Nagorno-Karabakh. The settlement or at least a deep freeze of this conflict can mitigate most of the regional military risks.
1
. Military Balance 2018. IISS. 2018. p. 187
2
. Ibid
3
. Ibid
4
. Ibid
5
. В ожидании бури: ...
... production and export between the two countries cannot make Russia see Azerbaijan as a potential opponent at the European market.
The South Caucasus region cannot be regarded as a vital oil and gas market for the Russian Federation. Currently Russia provides only its strategic partner with energy – Armenia, while Georgia is partly dependent on Azeri exports, and Azerbaijan is self-sufficient. Even if Georgia decides to reject Azeri exports ...
