Report No. 80/2022
Report No. 80/2022
The report by RIAC and Peking University’s Institute for International and Strategic Studies on Russian-Chinese cooperation in ensuring security in Afghanistan provides a general assessment of the security situation in the country following the withdrawal of U.S. forces in August 2021. This report highlights Moscow and Beijing’s interests in supporting stability in Afghanistan, as well as the means ...
Afghanistan is an issue on which China, Russia and the US can find common language
The Taliban’s return to power has fundamentally changed the political environment of Afghanistan, both internally and externally. The internal leading forces inside Afghanistan have turned to be the Taliban instead of the political forces represented by ...
... they would take a different approach, which means foreign actors could only advocate a certain “liberalization” of these institutions, accounting for the current trends in international development.
Andrey Kazantsev:
Prospects and Scenarios for Afghanistan: Russian and Chinese Interests
On the other hand, the Taliban’s activities tend to ignore the economic aspects, which are still of fundamental significance as they are instrumental to resolve the pressing problems that the Afghani face, while having an impact on the country’s domestic stability and the ...
The value of any potential deal with the Taliban is apparently not entirely clear to Russia, China or any of the Central Asian countries
The value of any potential deal with the Taliban is apparently not entirely clear to Russia, China or any of the Central Asian countries. As a rule, they combine active diplomacy towards Afghanistan with active military preparations, writes Valdai Club expert Vasily Kashin.
The defeat and abrupt withdrawal of the United States from Afghanistan, coupled with the instant collapse of the regime it had built in that country, has raised the ...
... relative isolation of India, as the country that most closely connects its future with the West.
We do not know if peace in Afghanistan becomes a reality. However, right now, for the first time in the past 40 years, internal political stabilisation in ... ... consolidated political movement with a unified leadership and control system. Second, the agreement of the leading regional powers like Russia and China that the Taliban movement should be given a chance to show prudent behaviour inside and outside. For China, this is cooperation in the ...
... Moscow’s withdrawal would lead to a substantial Chinese involvement
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. However, Beijing did not wish to intervene militarily, nor did Pakistan or Iran, which resulted in a political vacuum in Afghanistan—hence the rise of radicals, notably the Taliban.
Andrey Kortunov:
Afghanistan Will Test SCO's Capacity
The post-Soviet Russia no longer shares a border with Afghanistan, which makes military intervention unlikely, despite the relationship between Afghan religious extremists and those in the North Caucasus (Chechnya and Dagestan), while the Central Asian countries are ...
... around the division of power (that is, what powers each side will be vested with and what state and other structures they will control). Instead, they should focus on the very political, ideological and economic basis of the future power structure in Afghanistan.
Kh Khalid Farooq:
Pakistan Will Appreciate Russia Playing a More Active Role in the Region
Right now, Kabul and the Taliban have diametrically opposite views on this issue. For example, the central government calls for a republican form of government based on the principles of moderate Islam and respect for the fundamental documents of modern international law. Meanwhile,...
....
Though Moscow has intercepted the American negotiating agenda, it wasn’t repeated.
According to
the special representative of Russian President for Afghanistan Zamir Kabulov, the "Moscow format" is about national reconciliation within Afghanistan, while the negotiations between the Americans and the Taliban are about the further presence or withdrawal of foreign troops.
Thus, both the U.S., represented by Zalmay Khalilzad and Russia by Zamir Kabulov as well as the results of the Moscow talks in a gentleman's way declared the usefulness of both initiatives. However, the matter of whether Afghanistan will become a point of joint and coordinated actions of the United States and ...
... Head of National Counter-Terrorism Authority of Pakistan
RIAC Expert Tatyana Kanunnikova talks with Kh Khalid Farooq, expert in terrorism and former Head of National Counter-Terrorism Authority of Pakistan (
NACTA
), about improving the situation in Afghanistan, negotiations with Taliban, and the areas for Russia and Pakistan can cooperate in.
On Feb 5–6, the Taliban political envoys met with Afghan political leaders in Moscow to discuss the peace process. The event was organized by the Afghan diaspora but representatives from Pakistan took part in this ...
... approaching Eid al-Adha (Kurban Bairam) Festival spurred renewed attempts to achieve a truce, but to no avail. In the meantime, Pakistan got a new prime minister, whom his enemies have dubbed Imran “Taliban” Khan.
On Sunday, President Ashraf Ghani of Afghanistan announced a temporary ceasefire with the radical Taliban (banned in the Russian Federation) on the occasion of the Eid al-Adha (Kurban Bairam) Festival. Moreover, his office proposed a three-month long truce, which, given the real state of affairs on the ground, looked quite ambitious.
Ruslan Mamedov:
Revival of the Caliphate: ...