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Report No. 41/2019 This report is the result of a collaborative study performed by the RIAC and the Center for Strategic Research (SAM) of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Turkey. SAM publishes academic journal “Perceptions: Journal of International Affairs” (Turkey), an English language journal on foreign affairs. The materials included in this report were initially published in a special issue of PERCEPTIONS . The ...
... on Ankara. In general, the situation in Idlib and northeast Syria is frozen. The agreements between Russia and Turkey restrain the threat of escalation. However, in the long run, the deals may fail. Ruslan Mamedov: Troubled Partners: What Russia and Turkey are Dividing Up in Syria Recent attacks in Tel Abyad testify the difficulties of implementing the second Sochi memorandum . Although the Syrian border guards are taking control of the border, the YPG remains in Manbij, Tel Rifaat, al-Qamishli and other areas outside the ...
... said that we need to have open markets and not favor the creation of European champions, let the market decide, who is the champion and who isn’t. Recently, Turkey launched military operations in northern Syria. In your opinion, how does the EU see Turkey’s actions in Syria? I think this will raise a lot of questions for the EU. First of all, Turkey is talking about returning a lot of refugees to some sort of the “safe zone”. What will become of that safe-zone? If Turkey starts to return refugees against the advice ...
... is a cosmetic measure that has little in common with Donald Trump’s threats to destroy the Turkish economy. However, this time it was based on a separate executive order of the president. He introduced a state of emergency related to the actions of Turkey in northeast Syria. Executive order 13894 gave the US government, represented by the Treasury Department and the State Department, the authority to use sanctions against any individuals or entities that are responsible for the situation. Current and former Turkish ...
Media fail to recognize that the area between Ras Al Ain and Tal Abyad is almost entirely Arab and try to prove that a demographic change is taking place US President Donald Trump took several decisions on the Syria conflict recently, which triggered political and media pressure on him. Most criticism either attempted to score political and media points against Trump or stemmed from motives that have nothing to do with Syria. The Syria crisis embodied a good ...
... pressure Turkey puts on the United States, an ally of the Kurds. Ankara’s main goal is ostensibly to create a buffer zone in the north of Syria to prevent the Kurds from implementing a project there. This will allow Ankara to cut ties between Kurds in Syria and Turkey and bring Syrian refugees, mostly Sunni Arabs, back to settle in the new “safe zone.” The United States has even convinced even the Kurds that the “safe zone” is necessary. The question, however, is how deep the Turkish military will go ...
... countries. A Turkish operation against the YPG will not change the status of Russia in Syria. Hence, there is no reason for bilateral relations to be affected negatively. Furthermore, there is the Astana peace process which has been accomplished on the Syrian conflict. Turkey and Russia are the Astana partners who are managing the Syrian conflict together. In this regard, the Astana format’s importance will be boosted with Turkey’s military operation that limits the Syrian agenda of the U.S. The understanding between ...
On April 24–25, 2019, in Beirut, RIAC representatives took part in the event organized by Konrad Adenauer Foundation and Omran Center for Strategic Studies on the Syrian restoration. On April 24–25, 2019, in Beirut, RIAC representatives took part in the event organized by Konrad Adenauer Foundation and Omran Center for Strategic Studies on the Syrian restoration. The Konrad Adenauer Foundation seminar on ...
... need be - in accordance with the developing situation . If opportune for Russian interests, with friendly forces after a clearing of the area Russia might establish control over some of Idlib, but not necessarily. Russia would stay then out of all the Syrian border-zone to Turkey and also stay out of Kurdish areas. In northern and eastern Syria Arabs, Kurds, and Turkey might then “negotiate” their own balance (maybe fighting bitterly). If ISIS should rise anywhere in Syria again, Russia would offer the supply of air ...
... Turkish elites.The AKP government has been increasing gaining self-confidence in dealing with regional issues, possibly, hoping that cultural and geographical proximity to local population may be translated into real life political and economic gains for Turkey. Syria was possibly the prime example of recent regional activism of Turkey, but civil war changed this approach with rising instability threatening Turkish security and coming of many new global and regional players in the conflict. The problem for the ...
| U.S. wants to establish partnership relations with Russia on condition that it meets the U.S. requirements |
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| U.S. wants to deter Russia’s military and political activity |
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| U.S. wants to dissolve Russia |
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| U.S. wants to establish alliance relations with Russia under the US conditions to rival China |
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