... this time the ongoing conflict in Ukraine is already over and that some kind of accommodation with the West is already achieved. Such accommodation will be staged and partial; the odds are that even in 2035 some of the US and EU sanctions imposed on Moscow in 2022–2024 will still be in place. It is unlikely that the pre-2022 pattern of Russia-West relations can be restored in full even in eleven years from now. Russia’s pivot to Asia is going to continue even if a direct military clash with NATO is successfully avoided and some level of cooperation with the West is restored. At the same ...
... the indestructible bedrock of bilateral relations, is going through a period of severe stress. Over the last five years, Russia’s share of Indian defense imports went down from 60% to 45% and is likely to shrink even further in the near future. Moscow has to confront the rapid expansion of the Western presence in the Indian arms markets and the current "Made in India" strategy pursued by the Indian leadership. On top of that, there are questions in India about the reliability of Russian weapons, Russia’s compliance with delivery ...
... either bi-multipolar superpower, nor do they want the other to do so either. For instance, without India preemptively averting the scenario of Russia’s potentially forthcoming disproportionate dependence on China by becoming its alternative valve from Western pressure, Moscow could either have voluntarily submitted to becoming the “junior partner” of either the People’s Republic or the U.S.-led Western bloc since it might not have been able to stand independently on its own for too long.
The Global Importance Of ...
... Moscow-led power center in Eurasia.
Today, the first strategy is a complete failure; the second one, limited to economics and without Ukraine, qualifies as only a most moderate success.
Under these circumstances, reaching out pro-actively to the non-West is the only realistic option for Moscow. To exercise it, it will need to reform its traditional Western-centric worldview and pay more attention to its neighbors in Asia, and partners across the global South. For that, Moscow will not only need to learn more about them, and about their ...
