At the same time as the Pentagon released its first Arctic Strategy with the goal of protecting U.S. interests in the region and saving the region’s environment, Russian officials, academics, businesses and environmentalists are preparing for an international conference, “The Arctic: Region of Development and Cooperation,” organized by the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) and the Russian ...
Possible Scenarios
The Arctic region is turning into an area of protracted geopolitical rivalry. This rivalry ... ... area of international security, with new challenges and opportunities emerging for Russia.
The Arctic is becoming a new area of NATO’s influence, an area where security... ... The Cold Response of 2012 became the largest exercise in recent years, with 16.3 thousand servicemen from 15 countries taking part in it (10 thousand in 2006, 8.5 thousand...
... water area. The severity of this problem is blocked by the fact that most of the Arctic Ocean is covered by ice all year round. However, should the Arctic ice start melting (or, rather, speculations around this issue), the situation could get worse.
Refusal by the UN to recognize the continental shelf of the Arctic Ocean sought-for by Russia narrows the waters for the Russian Northern Fleet. Rivalry at a strategic level would threaten the implementation of START-3 and make Moscow and Washington less willing to compromise. Therefore, the Russian side should consider a strategy of interaction ...
... pushing out other international organizations (the Arctic Council and the Barents Euro-Arctic Council in which the US.A. is not a member). Given the current nature of relations between Russia and NATO, such steps would have negative consequences for Russia with no reliable allies in the Arctic.
Until the USA ratifies the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea, there remains the possibility of worsening of disputes with Russia on borders in the Arctic seas and on the continental shelf boundary. It should be remembered that the United States negatively views ...