... International Dialogue invited Andrey Kortunov, Academic Director of the Russian International Affairs Council, and Zhao Huasheng, Professor at Fudan University and expert with the Beijing Club for International Dialogue, to discuss the problems pertaining to international security, preventing a nuclear war, the rise of a new world order and prospects for the China-Russia relations.
The world security situation: pessimistic or optimistic?
Andrey Kortunov:
Recent international developments give few reasons to stay optimistic about global security—at least, in the nearest future. Most of the ongoing conflicts in ...
Over the last 20 years, China and Russia promoted the idea of complete demilitarization of outer space
During a recent regular press briefing in Washington, John Kirby, White House National Security Communications Advisor, expressed concerns about Russia allegedly working on new anti-satellite ...
... Impacts
Andrey Kortunov:
Does the Non-Proliferation Regime Have Any Future?
Official nuclear powers are threatening not only each other but also to
middle powers and small states
. At least three out of the five NWSs (nuclear weapon states)—China, Russia and the US—have direct stakes in the region. However, the crippled arms control system has not been trilateralized as China has refused to be included in the configuration, nodding to its incomparably smaller nuclear arsenal. Notwithstanding ...
Escalation signaling is a tremendously difficult task that allows for some flexibility but also raises the risks of further escalation
The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict has demonstrated an unprecedented use of missile capabilities and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) by both militaries. While Ukraine’s capabilities present a significant military-technical challenge for Russia, the fact that they ...
... at the turn of the century, the Arab Spring, the coronavirus pandemic – the acute phase of each of these cataclysms lasted an average of one and a half to two years. Today, the world is approaching the two-year anniversary of the conflict between Russia and the West transitioning into an acute phase, and there is no light looming at the end of the tunnel. Moreover, there are many reasons to believe that further escalation lies ahead. The same inauspicious conclusions may apply to many other systemic ...
As the world's two super-nuclear powers, the relations of Russia and the U.S. are inseparable from nuclear risk
Since the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Russia and the United States have been engaged in an almost open nuclear game, but in different forms and with different objectives. Both Russia ...
Russia and China as prominent spacefaring nations could contribute to the understanding of the space economy—space security nexus, utilizing existing levers to make space diplomats and space companies agree upon acting in a mutually beneficial, sustainable ...
... and Tokyo have become the parties most affected as their ties with China are rapidly deteriorating, while joint projects with Russia are frozen for an indefinite period and their dependence on the United States is growing. Whether this policy is really ... ... actual occupation of part of their territories by the U.S. military.
1
. Buzan B., Waever O. Regions and Powers: the structure of International Security. Cambridge University Press. 2003. 564 p.
2
. Waltz K. Theory of International Politics (1979). Waveland ...
... negotiations should be coupled with an analysis of the real capabilities and intentions of the parties to defend their interests under the current conditions.
The Ukrainian crisis that has snowballed into an intense military-political conflict between Russia and the Western nations supporting Ukraine implies a clash of the political interests, whose significance is defined by the participants as vital and crucial, which sharply limits the likelihood of reaching any settlement. The conflict’s current ...
... Affairs Council (RIAC) and the Strategic Vision Institute (SVI) held a round table on international security issues
On October 25, 2023, the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) and the Strategic Vision Institute (SVI) held a round table on international security issues.
During the round table, Russian and Pakistani experts discussed current issues related to the erosion of the international nuclear arms control regime and the modernization of the world's strategic arsenals. The event participants also touched upon security challenges in the ...
