On January 21, 2026, a roundtable discussion titled “The Situation in the Middle East: Risks of Military Escalation Around Iran” was held at the Izvestia Multimedia Information Center
On January 21, 2026, a roundtable discussion titled “The Situation in the Middle East: Risks of Military Escalation Around Iran” was held at the Izvestia Multimedia Information Center....
On January 21, 2026, a roundtable discussion titled “The Situation in the Middle East: Risks of Military Escalation Around Iran” was held at the Izvestia Multimedia Information Center
On January 21, 2026, a roundtable discussion titled “The Situation in the Middle East: Risks of Military Escalation Around Iran” was held at the Izvestia Multimedia Information Center....
... the global landscape is the transition from a unipolar to a multipolar world. The United States no longer operates in an uncontested strategic environment.
Russia and China have both deepened their political, economic, and diplomatic engagement in the Middle East. Iran occupies a critical position in this evolving order. Any attack on Iran would not occur in isolation; it would reverberate through great-power politics.
While neither Moscow nor Beijing may seek direct military confrontation with the United States,...
... Yemeni Houthis
[4]
. In their view, the construct itself contributed far more to the development of Sana’a’s relations with Iran and the “Axis of Resistance” during the years of the armed conflict than did any a priori assumption that the movement ... ... the roots of Houthism lie both in Yemen’s history and traditions and in the bleak contemporary political situation in the Middle East following the attacks of September 11, a situation which—according to Sayyid Hussein al-Houthi and his successor,...
... landscape. The attacks have called into question the fundamental strategic presumptions that have served as the foundation for Gulf Arab state security doctrines for the past fifty years. With unpredicted consequences, such as divergent views of Israel and Iran, this is also compelling introspection at a challenging moment for the larger region.
Entanglement or Empowerment? New Security Paradigm for Gulf States
Extra-Regional Actors in the Middle East. RIAC Report
For decades, the fundamental strategic presumption among the Arab states of the Gulf has been that the United States is the ultimate guarantor. Washington has been seen as
key
to the security of the Gulf. The U.S. military presence ...
... calling on all parties to take a step back, get back to the negotiating table, and stop the situation from getting worse. This cautious attitude highlights Europe's efforts to balance its alliance with Israel and continue to play a mediating role in Middle Eastern diplomacy.
The European-Iranian contradiction over Tehran's missile and nuclear programs seems to be more important than the Israeli-European contradiction that has surfaced in recent weeks, a result of the deteriorating humanitarian situation in the Gaza Strip, according to ...
... to the treaty. However, it is not too late trying to convince the Iranian leadership that in terms of long-term strategic interests of the Islamic Republic it would be better not to rush into decisions that would have many negative implications for Iran, as well as for the Middle East region at large. The Kremlin can make this pitch—a final decision to exit the NPT would have to be made by Iran’s Supreme National Security Council and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, with whom Vladimir Putin has good personal relations.
...
The recent U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure mark a notable recalibration of Washington’s Middle East policy
The recent U.S. strikes on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure mark a notable recalibration of Washington’s Middle East policy. In recent years, the United States has sought to avoid direct involvement in armed conflicts. While maintaining a military presence and alliances with most ...
... isolation or defeat.
A case for a nuclear Iran
Kenneth Waltz, one of the most influential realist thinkers in international relations, argued in a controversial 2012 Foreign Affairs article titled “
Why Iran Should Get the Bomb
” that a nuclear-armed Iran might actually stabilize the Middle East, rather than destabilize it.
Waltz’s theory is rooted in neorealism (or structural realism), which sees the international system as anarchic, and posits that states act primarily to ensure their own survival. From this perspective, nuclear ...
... the role of the extra-regional actors, the position of the “Axis of Resistance”, and the prospects for the development of Iran's nuclear program.
Speakers at the roundtable included: Andrey Kortunov, RIAC member; Viktor Smirnov, Ambassador Extraordinary ... ... Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences (RAS); Vladimir Sazhin, Senior Research Fellow at the Center for Middle Eastern Studies of the Institute of Oriental Studies, RAS; and Ivan Bocharov, Program Manager at RIAC.