... and Somalia and Chad. The second version of the Arab Spring will spark in Lebanon and Iraq, then move to Algeria and Egypt for political and economic reasons. The outcome... ... the way for the country to have further democracy. Yet, the regional conflict between Saudi Arabia and Iran would reflect on Kuwait as the Kuwaiti community is divided between... ... The new Sultan of Oman is to a great extent a replica of Sultan Qaboos’ policies.
Qatar
The Qatar crisis will be not solved as the recent meeting in Riyadh for the GCC...
... “South.” This creates 4 scenarios. And due to the pivotal role of Saudi power projection, it is practical to start with area where Saudi Arabia is located, that is, the “South.”
The South
We speak here of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Jordan, Bahrain and Qatar. With possible implications into the “North”: Iran, Iraq, and Syria.
Saudi Arabia
is pivotal for the whole region and is unstable at the same time. The current path is pointing to an ever more oppressive system, concentrating power and stagnant wealth into the hands of a very small group. Such system will become ever more ...
... Brotherhood” and pursues a policy that is broadly hostile to Riyadh. Moreover, given Qatar’s rapprochement with Iran, analysts do not rule out that if the civil wars in Syria and Iraq end, Qatar may join the Iranian pipeline project to Turkey through Iraq and Syria (before relations with Saudi Arabia deteriorated, Qatar intended to join the Saudi pipeline).
Moscow also occupies an ambiguous position. Tactically, Iraqi stabilization is advantageous for Russia, since it allows Russian companies to participate more actively in the development of Iraqi oil fields and ...
