... capitals, yet Iran has been unable to pull Baku into its orbit. The two countries also share deep historical and cultural ties, with Azeris in Iran forming the second-largest ethnic group after Persians. This puts Iran in a difficult position between Armenia and Azerbaijan, as it tries to maintain a balance between supporting Armenians, its traditional ally, and avoiding stirring up Azeri nationalism within Iran.
The regional map of influence has undergone drastic changes, with Iran losing much of its traditional ...
... pushed to the margins of the international agenda and the media narrative by developments in and around Ukraine. However, the importance of geopolitical transformations in this part of Eurasia should by no means be underestimated.
Sergey Markedonov:
Armenian-Azerbaijani Conflict: Last Chapter or More to Come?
To begin with, it was here, in South Caucasus, that the internationalization of the post-Soviet space was most active over the first 15 years of the 21
st
century. And it was here, in August 2008, that ...
... order to maintain its status quo and prevent the Turkish-Azerbaijani bloc from strengthening any further. This leads to the need to accumulate political, diplomatic and military means, as was the case, for example, in 2022, when Tehran
managed to stop
Azerbaijan's large-scale aggression against Armenia. Such actions cannot avoid creating tensions between Tehran and Baku. At the same time, Yerevan has to use additional instruments of deterrence, for example, by deploying an EU observer mission to the border. Therefore, increasing Armenia's defense ...
... restored the constitutional order of the Republic of Azerbaijan across the entire Karabakh economic region, and the remnants of the Armenian armed forces were disarmed and withdrawn to the territory of Armenia within a week. Thus, both sides of the Armenian-Azerbaijani settlement resolved the “Karabakh issue” in respect of Yerevan’s claim to establishing a second Armenian state on Azerbaijani lands and their subsequent annexation by Armenia. The Azerbaijani authorities used force to ensure security ...
... set in the latter days of the unified Soviet state, which is restoring its territorial integrity. However, while recognizing the obvious importance of this event, one should not reduce the analysis of the current state and future trajectories of the Armenian-Azerbaijani conflict to Baku’s successful blitzkrieg.
Fernand Braudel, a famous French historian and a prominent representative of the Annals school, proposed three categories of time for researchers: “long duration” (one century and more), “cyclic ...
... (дата обращения: 15.07.2023).
- Qiblawi. T. Potatoes are a luxury: Vital supplies dwindle as 'eco-activists' blockade a breakaway region guarded by Russia [Электронный ресурс]. URL: https://www.cnn.com/2023/01/12/europe/armenia-azerbaijan-nagorno-karabakh-lachin-intl/index.html (дата обращения: 18.07.2023).
- Sahilyol, K. 2012. The Armenian lobby in France and the recent developments regarding the probability of adoption of legislation criminalizing the denial of ...
... Armenian Karabakh, the end of the 2020 Karabakh War appeared to have a silver lining for Russian strategic interests. The deployment of Russian peacekeepers seemingly had the power to do what no Armenian or Karabakh army could—stabilize the fraught Armenian-Azerbaijani frontline. Indeed, the sheer strength of Russian forces alone initially appeared to act as an effective deterrent to any renewed clashes, ensuring a lasting stability in what was once a periodically unstable post-Soviet Eurasian conflict zone....
... abandoned by Western companies due to corporate boycotts. Ample opportunities remain for the supply of their products to Russia through Kazakhstan without the sanctions regimes being violated. Their skilful implementation will benefit the country. Like Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan is benefiting from rising energy prices.
Armenia, Georgia and Kazakhstan can be considered the main beneficiaries from migration from Russia. At the same time, the question of the stability of such a flow remains open. The Russian government has sent two important signals. The first is that ...
... resignation, criticizing its foreign and domestic policies.
Michael Lambert:
Russia and the Judgment of Solomon in Nagorno-Karabakh
Beliefs are important constructs of an individual’s mental model. Pashinyan believed that the balance of power between Armenia and Azerbaijan by 2020 July was in place. This belief was affected and shaped by the July battles and its result, which in Pashinyan’s cognitions was a viable indicator of the conflicting parties’ real capacities. Pashinyan’s memory probably lacked ...
... innovative businesses.
Opportunities
Under-explored markets such as renewable energy, biological agriculture and high-tech;
Affordable and skilled labour resources available;
Possible regional cooperation between the three main countries - Georgia, Armenia, Azerbaijan - instead of seeking different alliances outside the South Caucasus
Threats
Remaining ethnic tensions (internal and external) and the constraint of continuous political repetition compulsion regarding the de facto autonomous territories; ...