Report No. 85 / 2023
Report No. 85 / 2023
The Taliban’s (an organization whose activities are banned in the Russian Federation) rise to power in Afghanistan in August 2021 and the conflict in Ukraine have both had an impact on regional trends in the Middle East. This report sheds light on the transformation of new elements in Middle Eastern state relations and examines the changing role of key players in the region. It analyses the impact that the events in Afghanistan and Ukraine have had on the...
Five questions regarding China-Russia relations and Chinese policy through the prism of the Russia-Ukraine conflict
One unexpected outcome of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is that China-Russia relations have taken center stage in global affairs. Even though China is not a party to the conflict, while the Russia-Ukraine crisis has nothing to do with the PRC and the conflict’s termination does not hang upon China, Sino-Russian relations are a major variable in the international environment where this...
The world’s power center’s journey, a half millennium later, will have come full circle. Russia is not a bystander, but part of the action, pushing for change
The war in Ukraine, which to most Russians—and not just the Kremlin—is a direct, if not yet a kinetic military conflict with the American-led West, has been reshaping Russia massively from within. The economy, faced with the most severe sanctions so far imposed on any country, is not only seeking ways to go around the sanctions or substitute...
..., together with Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI), held a round table discussion on relations between Russia and the West in the context of finding ways out of the crisis.
The following issues were discussed: the impact of the Ukrainian crisis on the development of relations between Russia and the West; options for European security architecture in the new conditions; the impact of the conflict on the global context, in particular, the dynamics of the U.S.-China relations, ...
The referendums organised at the request of the two people's republics of Donetsk and Lugansk (independent since 2014 and recognised by Russia on 21 February 2022) but also in the territories of Zaporizhia and Kherson, have a historical and geopolitical significance on several levels, as it is not only a question of the process of Russian reunification but also of the consolidation of global multipolarity.
Following this plebiscite, the result of which was overwhelmingly in favour of reunification...
... Moscow in that Tbilisi formally supports all anti-Russian international documents, taking sides with the U.S. and the EU at every vote in the UN—because the government of Mr. Garibashvili has not yet renounced its European aspirations.
Ivan Timofeev:
Ukrainian Crisis, Turkey and Eurasia: Who Wins?
A Pre-February Georgia
In order to understand how Georgia manages to combine a pro-Western course with its defiance of anti-Russian injunctions by the U.S. and the EU (which commands nothing but respect,...
The West's failed Ukraine strategy has empowered the Global Majority to reject US domination
In his recent landmark address to Russia’s parliament, President Vladimir Putin cited the war in Ukraine and US/NATO involvement in the conflict as the main reason for his decision to “suspend” Moscow’s participation in the 2010 New START Treaty on strategic nuclear weapons. Putin also suggested that Russia should be ready to resume nuclear testing.
Effectively, this announcement, promptly turned into...
The resolution of the crisis might well trigger long-awaited reforms in the global order, which should imply, among other things, a more prominent role for the Global South in the international system
However, this mission has turned out to be impossible to accomplish. Over the last year, in the Global South, as a rule, countries do not subscribe to the US or the EU anti-Russian sanctions. These countries have voiced opposition to expelling Moscow from important multilateral international organizations...
Russia’s staunch stance is to be taken seriously in Seoul
For a beautiful word to be heard, it must first be uttered
.
—
Korean proverb
During a meeting of the Valdai International Discussion Club on October 27, 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin warned about the risk of a deteriorating Russo-Korean relationship, given that Seoul was supplying arms and ammunition to Ukraine. The Russian leader posed a logical
question
: “How would the Republic of Korea feel if we resumed cooperation with...
The conflict between Russia and the West is likely to drag on for decades, regardless of how and along exactly what lines the conflict in Ukraine ends
In 1989, the “short 20
th
century” ended with the “end of history”—the victory of the Western capitalist world over the Soviet socialist project. At that time, there was not a single country or community left in the world that would offer a global alternative in the form of its own view on the organisation of the economy, society and political system...