..., these objective trends will outweigh the immediate repercussions of the regional conflict in Europe and many of the current unattainable US political gains will naturally deflate.
It would not be a gross overstatement to argue that tor the US, the Ukrainian crisis has become a kind of political anesthetic that allowed Washington to brush aside many of its long-term problems and to score points with US allies, partners and to some extent—even with its adversaries and opponents. Still, if a patient ...
The figure of the U.S. president is unlikely to play a big role in Russian-American relations
The approaching US presidential election is once again giving rise to discussions about who is best for Russia. Once again, there is a temptation to view Republican candidate Donald Trump as a more acceptable politician for Moscow. Trump says he hasn’t ruled out a “deal” with Russia. His thinking is transactional. He stands for promoting the national interests of his country, but in words he is ready for...
On the transformation which was hard to imagine even five years ago
The last time Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi visited Russia to meet President Vladimir Putin was almost five years ago, in September 2019. The following year, the pandemic broke out, and the Russian leader did not pay a return visit until December 2021. A few months later, the Ukraine crisis began, and since then the annual bilateral summits have been unofficially put on pause. Now, finally, Modi is coming to Russia again—and...
Indonesia continues to pursue an independent international policy despite Western pressure
In June 2024, the 21st Shangri-La Dialogue forum, an annual conference held in Singapore under the auspices of the UK’s International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS) on security challenges in Asia, featured retired Indonesian General Prabowo Subianto for the third time in the past three years. He was invited to the Singapore forum in 2022 as Indonesia’s defense minister and influential politician who...
The more casualties both sides suffer, the greater the intensity of hostilities and the closer approach to the threshold of nuclear use. In this scenario, there will be no victors.
Is it possible for NATO armed forces to be involved in a military conflict between Russia and Ukraine? Such a formulation of the issue until recently seemed marginal, given the high risks of escalation of the military confrontation between the North Atlantic Alliance and Russia into a large-scale armed conflict. However...
Historians will most likely conclude the ambitious U.S.-led attempt to expand a militarized NATO on the border with Russia was an ill-conceived strategic failure resulting in lives lost and misplaced, and the catapult vital to compel a significant bi-polar alliance between BRICS to counter the once dominant NATO Alliance
NATO seems to be in disarray. NATO rested on their laurels that they could continue unabated in expanding the West’s military alliance to the doorstep of Moscow. The alliance placed...
... seriousness of the crisis that arose — a military clash between Russia and the United States over Ukraine—no longer left any room for foreign policy manoeuvring on the scale that was available to Europeans during the Cold War of 1949–1991.
Moreover, the Ukrainian crisis itself was, to a certain extent, the result of the fact that the continental Europe has lost all ability to be strategically independent. This, as we saw above, occurred as part of a gradual process that combined the consequences of the ...
If just one word were to be used to describe the preliminary outcomes of this dramatic crisis, the word would be resilience
The unfortunate conflict between Russia and Ukraine started almost a year and a half ago, and many experts in Russia, Europe, Asia, in the United States claimed that this conflict was a game changer. It was being said that the world would never be the same again as revolutionary shifts in global politics and in the global economy had been triggered. But then, almost the same...
Russia’s preservation of its statehood and sovereignty again becomes the main stake of the conflict. The statehood of Ukraine is another stake
In Russia, the point of view that the goal of the United States and the “collective West” headed by Washington is a final solution to the “Russian question” is becoming more and more widespread. Such a goal is seen as defeating Russia, levelling its military potential, restructuring its statehood, rewiring its identity, and possibly liquidating it as a single...
... offbeat to the overwhelming majority of observers until February 2022. Indeed, it seemed unlikely from the perspective of the past thirty years. And yet, it materialized. Maybe it is time to break down the habitual scheme of things?
Aleksey Arbatov:
The Ukrainian Crisis and Strategic Stability
Regardless of the motives behind this proposal, it requires rational reflection, considering the fundamental importance of the issue. After all, we are talking about nuclear weapons, which are associated not just ...
