Middle East – 2030
... “toxic” to the rest of the world. Diversification away from oil stops, and the country mostly deals in “arms and oil”. Egypt (a) Becomes ever more oppressive. Attempts to invigorate the economy fail. Terrorism. (b) War in Egypt (like Libya + Syria). Jordan follows a similar path to Egypt. Bahrain continues as it is today. “ Black Swans ”: Qatar may experience an invasion from Saudi Arabia, resulting in a more oppressive system. Iraq in the North, may, but this is more uncertain, also experience a Saudi invasion in the Sunni dominated ...
09.01.2019