Getting back to the deal will be difficult. It will be even more difficult to keep it
The prospects for talks on an Iranian nuclear deal are becoming increasingly dim. After Democrat Joe Biden won the presidential election in the United States and was ... ... the deal even though it was sealed by
UN Security Council Resolution 2231 of 2015
. In 2018,
Trump renewed the unilateral US sanctions against Iran
, and went on to tighten the restrictive measures
even further
. Eventually Iran also began to refuse ...
... dealing with North Korea,”
Trump stated
. Rhetorically, this allows Washington to fall back on the axis-of-evil vocabulary. Furthermore, Trump also said in his statement that the previous U.S. administration had partially lifted the anti-Iranian sanctions just as the regime was about to collapse; therefore, reinstating the sanctions now appears to be a logical move aimed at correcting President Obama’s mistakes.
It should be noted that Iran has done a much better job at halvanizing the public’s ...
... of its great potential without vast international investment.
The analysis leads us to three possible scenarios. Under the first – negative – scenario the USA leaves JCPOA which sparks an antagonistic reaction from Teheran. The return of American sanctions strengthens the position of Iranian conservatives, and all that combined inevitably throws the Iranian economy and its oil and gas sector back to isolation.
Under the second scenario, the USA and Iran stick to the nuclear deal. However, the sense of precarious unpredictability about Iran’s future affects the sentiment of international investors. The long-run repercussions of this scenario are tantamount to that of the first one. Here, the lack of economic development ...
...
RIAC Report “Russia-Iran Partnership: an
Overview and Prospects for the Future”
JCPOA’s final document introduces the concept of "Effects" as one of its main considerations. Effects are interpreted in two ways throughout the nuclear deal. E3/EU+3 side, sees its eligible effect and final outcome in dismantling weapon capabilities in Iran's nuclear program. In Iranian view, effect sought is assurance of gaining full economic benefit from sanctions relief. JCPOA will be prolonged if these two effects are met simultaneously on both sides. On E3/EU+3 side, there are defined procedures and mechanisms enforced by IAEA that could verify Iranian course of action. These verification measures ...