... the country but not achieve total victory.
While the situation in Afghanistan has stabilized with the arrival of U.S. troops in 2001, it is more the international context and geopolitical changes that the CIA has been concerned about in a post-2021 Afghanistan.
During the 2001–2021 period, Russia has regained its great power status and, through the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), is now in a position to provide protection to Central Asian countries, notably Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan. Moreover, Vladimir Putin’s Russia is now more active in far-flung countries such as Syria, suggesting that Moscow may once again be interested ...
... traditional allies and old adversaries alike. The Taliban, formally a terrorist organization under Russian law, were invited to Moscow for talks regarding the Afghan peace process in
March 2021
. Russia will likely coordinate with its allies in the CSTO and SCO to take a larger role in promoting stability in Afghanistan. Direct unilateral military involvement in Afghanistan by Russia is unlikely due to the legacy of the Soviet-Afghan War but collective support vis-a-vis multilateral forums remains in the realm of possibility. It has also recently been reported ...
... By May of this year, according to the Agreement for bringing peace to Afghanistan, the US should withdraw their troops from Afghanistan. While this event could reshape Russia’s role in the region, the agreement between the Taliban and Washington seems ... ... security architecture based on joint military exercises, supplies of modern weapons and equipment of military bases. However, the CSTO has been criticized throughout the years for having missed some opportunities of intervention, like during the 2010 Osh protests ...
... must be fought on multiple fronts. Russia's drug policy needs to involve a wider concept of security that not only encompasses the threat to national security, but also the human and social threat of drugs. Intense cooperation with Central Asia and Afghanistan through the SCO and CSTO is essential, as is strict border policing and law enforcement. Nonetheless, this no-tolerance policy for the supply side of the drug trade needs to be complemented with a softer approach for the demand side at home. To dwell on the social and economic ...
... in two stages, first upgrading Tajik border guards’ weaponry, providing them with special equipment and other hardware, and then boosting the development of border infrastructure, including through an intergovernmental targeted program.
Since Afghanistan is fundamentally instable, CSTO Secretary General
Nikolay Bordyuzha is focused on stopping the extremists
at the Afghan border – before they penetrate Central Asia.
Consequently, the CSTO foreign ministers' resolution covers military-technical emergency assistance to Tajik ...
Interview with Farkhod Tolipov
Interview
Today pundits are talking at length about cooperation between NATO and the CSTO over Afghanistan in 2014. We met with
Farkhod Tolipov
, PhD in Political Science, Director of Caravan of Knowledge, an Uzbek think tank, to ask his opinion about the relevance of such discussions and the parties’ capabilities to successfully interact ...
... therefore it is now pretty ineffective. NATO forces presence in Afghanistan can not be regarded as a containing factor for drug production on the contrary, the production of drugs has increased after the launch of the operation in 2001.
The situation around Afghanistan: the CSTO consensus problem
Potential problems with responding to the threats emanating from the Afghan territory may arise from differences between CSTO members over the issues in question but not only from the lack of certain mechanisms or capabilities. ...
