... may try to detach the economy from politics. The ongoing Ukraine crisis and Russia's involvement pose the main factor scaring other countries off from joining Russia within any structure. Despite participation in many integration unions, countries in Central Asia including Tajikistan prefer bilateral cooperation with the Kremlin.
5. The EEU is due to reach full force by 2025. What is your vision of the group in 10 years’ time?
Flickr / Eric Lafforgue
Kyrgyzstan Experts’ Polemic: “Kyrgyzstan and
the EEU: ...
... a theater of war.
Second, perceptions of the Great Patriotic War in Central Asia are prominently affected by the population’s youthfulness. The average median age there ranges from 21 in Tajikistan to 29 in Kazakhstan
[1]
. Over half of all Central Asians are under 30 years of age, while in Tajikistan youths constitute two thirds of the population. The generation of
victory grandchildren
, i.e. children under 15 years of age, ranges from 25 percent in Kazakhstan to 33 percent in Tajikistan. By comparison, in Russia the share of people under ...
... line with this logic, Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan feel particularly vulnerable due to the presence of the Russian military contingent on their territory: the largest Russian military facilities abroad are the 201st Motor Rifle Division (base) deployed in Tajikistan (about 7500 people) and the Kant airbase in Kyrgyzstan.
The position of the Russian language and of the minorities in the Central Asian republics is a separate aspect of the problem. Russian policy in the post-Soviet space, which after 2008 has increasingly promoted the issue of protecting compatriots “
wherever they may be
”, cannot but fuel phobias and speculation,...
... damages incurred through by winning new friends and partners, and by strengthening trade and economic ties. In the early 1990s, Iran intensified its activity in the region, with an emphasis on its ethnic and linguistic affinity with the culturally close Tajikistan. However, the Central Asian geography of its ties later went beyond this narrow scope and now includes all states in the region. Iran is a welcome player in Central Asia – it helps solve transport and energy problems, provides technologies, develops trade relations,...
... US interest in the region concerning the security issues. It seems that behind the scenes, analytical community agrees with Kuchera and turns its attention to Russia and China, waiting to see how the withdrawal of coalition leads the players of the Central Asian “Game” to change their behaviour and bid on different CA countries. United States - focusing on Uzbekistan, Russia - on Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan and China - on everyone, but the least of all on Kyrgyzstan. Since the beginning of 2013 CA countries started to declare the willingness of their major partners, mostly Russia and China, to make huge donations to the regions economies. Although ...
... attempts to overcome uncertainty in Kyrgyzstan and isolationism in Turkmenistan, the obvious dependence of credit institutions in Tajikistan and Uzbekistan on administrative interference – these are part of the diverse set of characteristics that inevitably ... ... capital and caution. Are there any opportunities being overlooked and are the market risks really that high?
Banking Risks in Central Asia
Central Asia is an emerging market, with micro-level certainty reduced by volatile market economies and national ...
... will be reexamined as Russia and Uzbekistan agreed on this in 2012[6].
Kambarata project seems more credible, especially after Russia declared that it is going to participate in it. Rogun still doesn’t have any significant foreign investor and Tajikistan doesn’t have money to built it by itself. Russia also may become a potential investor in Rogun project - the energy sector in Russia predicts the fall in profits due to shale boom, so the possibility of taking part in Central Asian HPP projects rises.
Let’s sum up what we have: Kambarata-1 HPP is more likely to be build in Central Asia than Rogun - the former has investor (only one, but still), but is not significantly different from Rogun. However, it’s ...
... seize drug-trafficking, illegal trafficking of goods, and protects CA countries from the threat of extremism.
Both of the BOMCA main goals are to bring order and profits, the problem they face is essential to any initiative in this region - it is a Central Asian regional rivalry, headed by authoritarian-style leaders. In summer of 2012 Tajikistan and Uzbekistan fully demonstrated this in conflict around Tajikistan’s Hydroelectric Plant project and Uzbekistan’s closing of the border with Tajikistan and even demolishing the railroad connecting these states. Continuing problem ...
