CIA National Intelligence Estimates on the Cross-Strait and Sino-Russian Relations

... policy in Europe is related to Taiwan. The CIA's Red Lines These are the scenarii that could prompt Beijing to conduct a direct military attack on Taiwan: Taiwan new referendum on Independence Foreign support for pro-independence forces in Taiwan Taiwan development of nuclear weapons Political instability on the island Despite this, the CIA believes that China will follow its plan to develop Soft Power in the coming decades, as relations with Russia will bring economic prosperity and military cooperation in order to counterbalance American influence in Asia. The relationship between Moscow and Washington is not present in the NIE on “ China-Taiwan: ...