Middle East – 2030

... (a) Becomes ever more oppressive. Attempts to invigorate the economy fail. Terrorism. (b) War in Egypt (like Libya + Syria). Jordan follows a similar path to Egypt. Bahrain continues as it is today. “ Black Swans ”: Qatar may experience an invasion ... ... this is more uncertain, also experience a Saudi invasion in the Sunni dominated west, going all the way up to eastern Syria. Lebanon in North, may experience invasion by Israel in the south “ended” by the insertion of a Saudi- Egyptian dominated “Arab ...