Sooner or later, the Emerging Situation Will Force the Trump Administration to Make the Difficult Choice between the JCPOA and a New War in the Middle East
In the last few months, the U.S.¬–Iran confrontation has been rapidly and steadily plunging the Middle East into the atmosphere of an impending armed conflict. The main stumbling block for Tehran and Washington is the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), as the two states differed ...
The new sanctions war against Iran has been unleashed, and there is no way of stopping it
Sanctions researchers and enforcers are acutely intrigued by the ... ... sanctions imposed by the United States on Iran would be effective. By withdrawing from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on the Iranian nuclear program, the United States dealt a heavy blow to multilateral diplomacy. Approved by
UN Security ...
After US decision to withdraw from JCPOA and to reintroduce sanctions, Iran’s oil sector feels more pressure and uncertainty
Almost four years ago, after years of difficult negotiations, the Iran nuclear deal, also known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), was signed. Many viewed it as a diplomatic triumph,...
... part, seem to have left room for manoeuvre: Tehran has so far only advanced an ultimatum and in fact has not yet torpedoed the JCPOA. But the very fact of this ultimatum has caused the US and remaining Western parties to the deal to see red, and ultimately ... ... tankers raised serious concerns among ship owners, leading to a local increase of oil prices. Third, Washington levelled accusations against Iran, effectively placing responsibility for the incidents on Tehran.
An important fact to note is that such incidents have already ...
Any US action in Iran would profoundly benefit China’s interests in Iran and strengthen its position across the region
China’s rise in the Middle East is not simply a case of debt-trap diplomacy or expanding Chinese influence, it requires an ideological shift to ...
The fall of Iran could undermine Moscow's capacity for balancing in the Middle East
As US-Iran tensions are changing course beyond JCPOA and towards a possible military confrontation, the Russian factor is becoming more crucial. Russia's Middle East policy is marked with balancing acts that secure the country's role as an agile and effective balancing power. The fall of the Islamic ...
... showdown, at least with Israel. The alleged increased transfers of rockets to regional proxies is a sign of this worrisome trend.
Russia and the main European powers do not see completely eye to eye on these issues. Moscow is less adamant about the Iranian ballistic program, less prone to condemn so-called “destabilizing” activities in the region and is in any case not prepared to establish any causal effect between these matters and the implementation of the JCPOA. However, Russia and Europe do share some obvious common interests. Indeed, both want to avoid the non-proliferation crises that would ensue, were Tehran to decide to distance itself from the constraints of the JCPOA or the NPT, and both want to ...
... a lot at the political level, but it cannot replace Europe as a potential driver of Iran’s economic and social development
On May 8, 2019, Iran sent a message to Germany... ... under the “Iranian nuclear deal” – the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA. In particular, Tehran refuses to comply with restrictions that were placed on... ... confidence, a reduction in hostile rhetoric, contacts between the militaries, a refusal to interfere in the internal affairs of other countries, an agreement on the status...
Iran does not have sufficient resources to ensure the rebuilding of the war-torn country ... ... Interests for Peace in Syria
Iran will hardly succeed in bringing Trump back to the JCPOA in the foreseeable future, and it is certainly not ready to sacrifice its few... ... functions. Since the start of the war, Iran has, according to various sources, sent thousands of soldiers and pieces of military equipment to Syria, as well as and tens of...
On August 7, new US sanctions against Iran came into force. The European Union declared its intention to block them in order to protect European companies working in ... ... The statements Trump and his team are making towards Iran – including that of May 8 concerning the US withdrawal from the JCPOA – demonstrate that the core of the problem, how it is viewed in Washington today, lies not in the nuclear field, but in ...