... of their authors than to their sense of responsibility. Some claim that a nuclear war is not so horrible after all and that nuclear weapons do not differ in principle from conventional arms. Others say that to revive nuclear arms control the human race ... ... multilateral nuclear deterrence. Can we afford to wait for decades?
Andrey Kortunov:
The Domino Effect: America’s Withdrawal from the INF Treaty and Its Ramifications
Without claiming to have any mystical knowledge on life after the death of arms control, I would ...
... States and Russia, and moreover, Washington may also find it difficult to negotiating an arms control treaty with other countries like China after deciding unilaterally to pull out of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty, Ivanov said.
The INF Treaty could have been saved because it had mechanisms to address issues disputed among the involved parties of the accord, Ivanov added.
Source:
Sputnik International
Session "U.S.-Russian Strategic Relations: The Big Picture", Carnegie ...
... RAS Institute for the U.S. and Canadian Studies, retired Major General, RIAC expert, noted that the U.S. withdrawal from the INF Treaty threatens New START — an agreement between the Russian Federation and the United States of America on Measures for ... ... a new treaty,” said Zolotarev.
The speaker underscored the very vague prospects of The Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons: “While Russia and the U.S. were engaged in maintaining strategic stability in a bilateral format discussing ...
... demise of the treaty has a direct bearing on all members of the nuclear club.
And fourth, in this situation Russia and the United States should focus on preparations for the 2020 Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT). Withdrawal from the INF Treaty and, more importantly, refusal to extend the New START Treaty would create major risks for the global non-proliferation regime, and the next NPT Review Conference may turn out to be the last. This will not benefit Moscow or Washington, and ...
... have seen their positions in Congress consolidated, are even threatening to thwart Trump’s more conservative proposals on nuclear weapons). It should, however, be remembered that it is far easier to turn a conventional missile into a nuclear missile ... ...
Intermediate-Range Challenges
It is clear that, for reasons of geography, the United States only needs missile systems that breach the INF Treaty for purposes of advanced deployment. Such missiles could be deployed primarily in Southeast Asia to counter China. ...
After Ditching the INF Treaty, the U.S. Risks Further Isolation
Seventeen years ago, in late 2001, the George W. Bush Administration announced the unilateral withdrawal of the United States from the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty (ABM) that Moscow and Washington, which ...
... out. Not only is it difficult and perhaps even impossible to ratify any national agreement today, especially with regards to nuclear weapons, the ongoing U.S.-Russia confrontation further complicates this process. Under such strained conditions, whether ... ... assurances—a party can easily withdraw from any agreement upon completing simple formal procedures.
Alexander Yermakov:
The INF Treaty Is Under Attack. Down a Road Paved with Good Intentions
Third, quantitative parameters will be less of a central component ...
The visit of John Bolton to Moscow attracted attention in connection with the announcement of possible US withdrawal from the INF Treaty. This is undoubtedly an important decision that will have major consequences for Russia, for the European security, and for strategic stability. There was a lot of talk about this, the debates will continue, but it is important to note that ...
... this next phase to start, the two countries must agree on ceilings but also improve communication [
2
] (including military-to-military) and begin work on precise, agreed, and approved (!) definitions for terminology and broader concepts related to nuclear weapons policy and strategy: deterrence, strategic stability etc. The latter process may start as a Track II discussion.
Dmitry Ofitserov-Belsky:
INF Treaty: More than Just an Agreement
The INF is a tougher topic. Both countries have officially accused each other of breaching the treaty, while denying the accusations of the other side. The US has already codified its accusations which, for example,...
... latest United States Nuclear Posture Review and other policy papers, as well as Russia’s announcement regarding the development of new nuclear delivery vehicles. China is also developing its own SNF. To assess the role and place of various types of nuclear weapons in the overall structure of nuclear deterrence, we have developed a simplified model of SNF “interaction” for first, launch-under-attack, and second strikes.
As baseline data for our analysis, we used reviews of the world’s nuclear ...
